Recent National Weather Service forecasts for New York City indicate overnight lows in the low-to-mid 60s Fahrenheit for the September 15–16 period under mostly clear skies and light southerly winds, positioning 64–65°F and 62–63°F as the leading market outcomes with combined implied probability above 70%. These conditions reflect a stable, mild air mass with minimal cloud cover allowing moderate radiational cooling, consistent with climatological averages near 62°F for mid-September. Model consensus shows little deviation expected before resolution, though any increase in wind or moisture advection could nudge the minimum slightly lower. Traders are weighting these near-term official guidance updates heavily ahead of the daily minimum reading.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à New York le 16 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à New York le 16 septembre ?
64-65 °F 56%
62-63°F 32%
60-61°F 8%
66-67°F 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 sept. 2026
55°F ou moins
1%
56-57°F
7%
58-59°F
4%
60-61°F
8%
62-63°F
32%
64-65 °F
43%
66-67°F
8%
68-69°F
3%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73 °F
1%
74°F ou plus
<1%
64-65 °F 56%
62-63°F 32%
60-61°F 8%
66-67°F 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 sept. 2026
55°F ou moins
$193 Vol.
1%
56-57°F
$112 Vol.
7%
58-59°F
$379 Vol.
4%
60-61°F
$345 Vol.
8%
62-63°F
$655 Vol.
32%
64-65 °F
$613 Vol.
43%
66-67°F
$543 Vol.
8%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
3%
70-71°F
$5 Vol.
<1%
72-73 °F
$49 Vol.
1%
74°F ou plus
$54 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for New York City indicate overnight lows in the low-to-mid 60s Fahrenheit for the September 15–16 period under mostly clear skies and light southerly winds, positioning 64–65°F and 62–63°F as the leading market outcomes with combined implied probability above 70%. These conditions reflect a stable, mild air mass with minimal cloud cover allowing moderate radiational cooling, consistent with climatological averages near 62°F for mid-September. Model consensus shows little deviation expected before resolution, though any increase in wind or moisture advection could nudge the minimum slightly lower. Traders are weighting these near-term official guidance updates heavily ahead of the daily minimum reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 14, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$2,948Date de fin
16 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 14, 2026, 3:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for New York City indicate overnight lows in the low-to-mid 60s Fahrenheit for the September 15–16 period under mostly clear skies and light southerly winds, positioning 64–65°F and 62–63°F as the leading market outcomes with combined implied probability above 70%. These conditions reflect a stable, mild air mass with minimal cloud cover allowing moderate radiational cooling, consistent with climatological averages near 62°F for mid-September. Model consensus shows little deviation expected before resolution, though any increase in wind or moisture advection could nudge the minimum slightly lower. Traders are weighting these near-term official guidance updates heavily ahead of the daily minimum reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,948Date de fin
16 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 14, 2026, 3:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts for New York City indicate overnight lows in the low-to-mid 60s Fahrenheit for the September 15–16 period under mostly clear skies and light southerly winds, positioning 64–65°F and 62–63°F as the leading market outcomes with combined implied probability above 70%. These conditions reflect a stable, mild air mass with minimal cloud cover allowing moderate radiational cooling, consistent with climatological averages near 62°F for mid-September. Model consensus shows little deviation expected before resolution, though any increase in wind or moisture advection could nudge the minimum slightly lower. Traders are weighting these near-term official guidance updates heavily ahead of the daily minimum reading.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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