Forecast models for New York City on September 16 show high temperatures clustered in the mid-to-upper 70s, with some runs reaching the low 80s amid light southwesterly flow and partly cloudy conditions that limit peak heating. This spread drives the market’s even distribution across 76–81°F bins and notable probabilities on higher outcomes, as small shifts in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or timing of any weak frontal passage can alter the daily maximum by several degrees. Historical climatology places the September 16 average high near 76°F, providing context for why traders assign meaningful weight to both near-normal and warmer scenarios. Updated National Weather Service model runs and afternoon observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these ranges before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à New York le 16 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à New York le 16 septembre ?
80-81°F 36%
88°F ou plus 31%
78-79°F 24%
74-75°F 20%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 sept. 2026
69°F ou moins
7%
70-71°F
5%
72-73°F
8%
74-75°F
20%
76-77°F
13%
78-79°F
24%
80-81°F
36%
82-83°F
14%
84-85°F
20%
30-30,5°C
15%
88°F ou plus
31%
80-81°F 36%
88°F ou plus 31%
78-79°F 24%
74-75°F 20%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 sept. 2026
69°F ou moins
$0 Vol.
7%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
5%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
8%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
20%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
13%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
24%
80-81°F
$78 Vol.
36%
82-83°F
$34 Vol.
14%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
20%
30-30,5°C
$0 Vol.
15%
88°F ou plus
$0 Vol.
31%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for New York City on September 16 show high temperatures clustered in the mid-to-upper 70s, with some runs reaching the low 80s amid light southwesterly flow and partly cloudy conditions that limit peak heating. This spread drives the market’s even distribution across 76–81°F bins and notable probabilities on higher outcomes, as small shifts in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or timing of any weak frontal passage can alter the daily maximum by several degrees. Historical climatology places the September 16 average high near 76°F, providing context for why traders assign meaningful weight to both near-normal and warmer scenarios. Updated National Weather Service model runs and afternoon observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these ranges before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 14, 2026, 2:55 AM ET
Volume
$112Date de fin
16 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 14, 2026, 2:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for New York City on September 16 show high temperatures clustered in the mid-to-upper 70s, with some runs reaching the low 80s amid light southwesterly flow and partly cloudy conditions that limit peak heating. This spread drives the market’s even distribution across 76–81°F bins and notable probabilities on higher outcomes, as small shifts in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or timing of any weak frontal passage can alter the daily maximum by several degrees. Historical climatology places the September 16 average high near 76°F, providing context for why traders assign meaningful weight to both near-normal and warmer scenarios. Updated National Weather Service model runs and afternoon observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these ranges before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$112Date de fin
16 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 14, 2026, 2:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for New York City on September 16 show high temperatures clustered in the mid-to-upper 70s, with some runs reaching the low 80s amid light southwesterly flow and partly cloudy conditions that limit peak heating. This spread drives the market’s even distribution across 76–81°F bins and notable probabilities on higher outcomes, as small shifts in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or timing of any weak frontal passage can alter the daily maximum by several degrees. Historical climatology places the September 16 average high near 76°F, providing context for why traders assign meaningful weight to both near-normal and warmer scenarios. Updated National Weather Service model runs and afternoon observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these ranges before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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