Recent forecasts for Guangzhou point to a highest temperature on September 16 clustered in the 31–33°C range, aligning with the market’s tight distribution around these outcomes. The northeast monsoon is steering scattered showers and thunderstorms across the region, increasing cloud cover that limits solar heating while high humidity sustains warmth. Official guidance from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and international models shows daytime maxima near the long-term September 16 average of 31.9°C, with precipitation probabilities above 60% likely to cap peaks. Minor model differences in timing and intensity of rain explain the near-even odds between 31°C, 32°C, and 33°C. Updated runs and surface observations in the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Guangzhou le 16 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Guangzhou le 16 septembre ?
33°C 32%
32°C 25%
35°C ou plus 19.6%
31°C 18%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 sept. 2026
25°C ou moins
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
5%
30°C
10%
31°C
18%
32°C
25%
33°C
22%
34°C
10%
35°C ou plus
10%
33°C 32%
32°C 25%
35°C ou plus 19.6%
31°C 18%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 sept. 2026
25°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
2%
27°C
$5 Vol.
1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
3%
29°C
$0 Vol.
5%
30°C
$0 Vol.
10%
31°C
$0 Vol.
18%
32°C
$12 Vol.
25%
33°C
$8 Vol.
22%
34°C
$50 Vol.
10%
35°C ou plus
$208 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Guangzhou point to a highest temperature on September 16 clustered in the 31–33°C range, aligning with the market’s tight distribution around these outcomes. The northeast monsoon is steering scattered showers and thunderstorms across the region, increasing cloud cover that limits solar heating while high humidity sustains warmth. Official guidance from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and international models shows daytime maxima near the long-term September 16 average of 31.9°C, with precipitation probabilities above 60% likely to cap peaks. Minor model differences in timing and intensity of rain explain the near-even odds between 31°C, 32°C, and 33°C. Updated runs and surface observations in the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$283Date de fin
16 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Guangzhou point to a highest temperature on September 16 clustered in the 31–33°C range, aligning with the market’s tight distribution around these outcomes. The northeast monsoon is steering scattered showers and thunderstorms across the region, increasing cloud cover that limits solar heating while high humidity sustains warmth. Official guidance from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and international models shows daytime maxima near the long-term September 16 average of 31.9°C, with precipitation probabilities above 60% likely to cap peaks. Minor model differences in timing and intensity of rain explain the near-even odds between 31°C, 32°C, and 33°C. Updated runs and surface observations in the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$283Date de fin
16 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Guangzhou point to a highest temperature on September 16 clustered in the 31–33°C range, aligning with the market’s tight distribution around these outcomes. The northeast monsoon is steering scattered showers and thunderstorms across the region, increasing cloud cover that limits solar heating while high humidity sustains warmth. Official guidance from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and international models shows daytime maxima near the long-term September 16 average of 31.9°C, with precipitation probabilities above 60% likely to cap peaks. Minor model differences in timing and intensity of rain explain the near-even odds between 31°C, 32°C, and 33°C. Updated runs and surface observations in the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes