Forecast models for September 15 project a daytime high near 32–34°C in Guangzhou, consistent with the historical average of 32°C and the close clustering of market-implied odds around 33–35°C. Persistent high humidity near 75%, scattered thunderstorms with 60–80% probability, and variable cloud cover from the East Asian monsoon pattern are the main variables limiting strong daytime heating while also trapping warmth overnight. Light northeasterly winds and dew points around 25°C further moderate extremes. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these thresholds ahead of the observation window, with any clearing skies or delayed rain timing potentially pushing readings toward the upper end of the favored range.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Guangzhou le 15 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Guangzhou le 15 septembre ?
34°C 34%
35°C 25%
33°C 23%
32°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 sept. 2026
27°C ou moins
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
7%
32°C
12%
33°C
23%
34°C
34%
35°C
25%
36°C
5%
37°C ou plus
2%
34°C 34%
35°C 25%
33°C 23%
32°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 sept. 2026
27°C ou moins
$10 Vol.
1%
28°C
$10 Vol.
1%
29°C
$9 Vol.
1%
30°C
$50 Vol.
2%
31°C
$88 Vol.
7%
32°C
$5 Vol.
12%
33°C
$13 Vol.
23%
34°C
$3 Vol.
34%
35°C
$146 Vol.
25%
36°C
$119 Vol.
5%
37°C ou plus
$10 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for September 15 project a daytime high near 32–34°C in Guangzhou, consistent with the historical average of 32°C and the close clustering of market-implied odds around 33–35°C. Persistent high humidity near 75%, scattered thunderstorms with 60–80% probability, and variable cloud cover from the East Asian monsoon pattern are the main variables limiting strong daytime heating while also trapping warmth overnight. Light northeasterly winds and dew points around 25°C further moderate extremes. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these thresholds ahead of the observation window, with any clearing skies or delayed rain timing potentially pushing readings toward the upper end of the favored range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ET
Volume
$462Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for September 15 project a daytime high near 32–34°C in Guangzhou, consistent with the historical average of 32°C and the close clustering of market-implied odds around 33–35°C. Persistent high humidity near 75%, scattered thunderstorms with 60–80% probability, and variable cloud cover from the East Asian monsoon pattern are the main variables limiting strong daytime heating while also trapping warmth overnight. Light northeasterly winds and dew points around 25°C further moderate extremes. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these thresholds ahead of the observation window, with any clearing skies or delayed rain timing potentially pushing readings toward the upper end of the favored range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$462Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for September 15 project a daytime high near 32–34°C in Guangzhou, consistent with the historical average of 32°C and the close clustering of market-implied odds around 33–35°C. Persistent high humidity near 75%, scattered thunderstorms with 60–80% probability, and variable cloud cover from the East Asian monsoon pattern are the main variables limiting strong daytime heating while also trapping warmth overnight. Light northeasterly winds and dew points around 25°C further moderate extremes. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these thresholds ahead of the observation window, with any clearing skies or delayed rain timing potentially pushing readings toward the upper end of the favored range.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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