**Current forecasts for Qingdao on September 15, 2026, emphasize mostly sunny to clear conditions with southerly winds of 3–4 levels, supporting daytime highs in the upper 20s °C.** Multiple models, including those from Chinese meteorological sources and international outlooks, converge on maxima around 26–29°C, consistent with typical mid-September coastal patterns where the Yellow Sea moderates extremes. Recent observations show stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover, with no significant frontal systems or typhoon influences expected to alter steering or intensify warming. Trader consensus around 30–31°C likely incorporates slight upward adjustments from ensemble spreads or localized urban heat effects, while the modest probability for 32°C or higher reflects low but non-zero potential for model underestimation of insolation under prolonged clear skies. Updated NMC or CMA guidance on the morning of the 15th will provide the definitive observational maximum for resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Qingdao le 15 septembre ?
31°C 46%
30°C 37%
32°C ou plus 15%
29°C 6%
22°C ou moins
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
6%
30°C
37%
31°C
46%
32°C ou plus
15%
31°C 46%
30°C 37%
32°C ou plus 15%
29°C 6%
22°C ou moins
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
6%
30°C
37%
31°C
46%
32°C ou plus
15%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts for Qingdao on September 15, 2026, emphasize mostly sunny to clear conditions with southerly winds of 3–4 levels, supporting daytime highs in the upper 20s °C.** Multiple models, including those from Chinese meteorological sources and international outlooks, converge on maxima around 26–29°C, consistent with typical mid-September coastal patterns where the Yellow Sea moderates extremes. Recent observations show stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover, with no significant frontal systems or typhoon influences expected to alter steering or intensify warming. Trader consensus around 30–31°C likely incorporates slight upward adjustments from ensemble spreads or localized urban heat effects, while the modest probability for 32°C or higher reflects low but non-zero potential for model underestimation of insolation under prolonged clear skies. Updated NMC or CMA guidance on the morning of the 15th will provide the definitive observational maximum for resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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