Forecast models from NOAA and other agencies indicate scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms for Miami on September 16, driven by northeasterly flow and an approaching tropical system, which should limit daytime heating through persistent cloud cover and evaporative cooling. This setup favors maximum temperatures in the mid-to-upper 80s°F, aligning with market-implied odds clustering around 84–89°F bins. Historical September averages near 89°F provide context, but the current pattern deviates due to enhanced moisture and reduced insolation. Model consensus shows moderate uncertainty in storm timing and coverage, which could allow brief clearing and a higher peak or heavier rain suppressing it further; updated NHC and local forecasts over the next 48 hours will refine these variables.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Miami le 16 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Miami le 16 septembre ?
90-91°F 38%
88-89 °F 36%
84-85°F 35%
92-93°F 19%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 sept. 2026
77°F ou moins
5%
78-79 °F
5%
80-81 °F
5%
82-83 °F
6%
84-85°F
35%
86-87°F
14%
88-89 °F
25%
90-91°F
38%
92-93°F
19%
94-95°F
6%
96°F ou plus
5%
90-91°F 38%
88-89 °F 36%
84-85°F 35%
92-93°F 19%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 sept. 2026
77°F ou moins
$0 Vol.
5%
78-79 °F
$0 Vol.
5%
80-81 °F
$0 Vol.
5%
82-83 °F
$0 Vol.
6%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
35%
86-87°F
$18 Vol.
14%
88-89 °F
$12 Vol.
25%
90-91°F
$300 Vol.
38%
92-93°F
$0 Vol.
19%
94-95°F
$0 Vol.
6%
96°F ou plus
$0 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from NOAA and other agencies indicate scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms for Miami on September 16, driven by northeasterly flow and an approaching tropical system, which should limit daytime heating through persistent cloud cover and evaporative cooling. This setup favors maximum temperatures in the mid-to-upper 80s°F, aligning with market-implied odds clustering around 84–89°F bins. Historical September averages near 89°F provide context, but the current pattern deviates due to enhanced moisture and reduced insolation. Model consensus shows moderate uncertainty in storm timing and coverage, which could allow brief clearing and a higher peak or heavier rain suppressing it further; updated NHC and local forecasts over the next 48 hours will refine these variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 14, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Volume
$329Date de fin
16 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 14, 2026, 2:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from NOAA and other agencies indicate scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms for Miami on September 16, driven by northeasterly flow and an approaching tropical system, which should limit daytime heating through persistent cloud cover and evaporative cooling. This setup favors maximum temperatures in the mid-to-upper 80s°F, aligning with market-implied odds clustering around 84–89°F bins. Historical September averages near 89°F provide context, but the current pattern deviates due to enhanced moisture and reduced insolation. Model consensus shows moderate uncertainty in storm timing and coverage, which could allow brief clearing and a higher peak or heavier rain suppressing it further; updated NHC and local forecasts over the next 48 hours will refine these variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$329Date de fin
16 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 14, 2026, 2:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from NOAA and other agencies indicate scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms for Miami on September 16, driven by northeasterly flow and an approaching tropical system, which should limit daytime heating through persistent cloud cover and evaporative cooling. This setup favors maximum temperatures in the mid-to-upper 80s°F, aligning with market-implied odds clustering around 84–89°F bins. Historical September averages near 89°F provide context, but the current pattern deviates due to enhanced moisture and reduced insolation. Model consensus shows moderate uncertainty in storm timing and coverage, which could allow brief clearing and a higher peak or heavier rain suppressing it further; updated NHC and local forecasts over the next 48 hours will refine these variables.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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