Current short-range forecasts from multiple models place the overnight low in New York City on September 17 near 69–70 °F, driving the 46 % market-implied probability on the 70–71 °F bin. Southerly flow ahead of an approaching front and above-normal seasonal guidance from NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center have kept readings several degrees warmer than the 1991–2020 average low of 61 °F for the date. Limited model spread and the proximity of resolution leave little room for a sharp cool-air intrusion, though any eastward shift in the frontal timing or stronger radiational cooling under clearer skies could still pull the minimum into the upper 60s. Updated National Weather Service and ensemble runs expected overnight will determine whether the current consensus holds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à New York le 17 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à New York le 17 septembre ?
70-71 °F 46%
72-73°F 40%
68-69°F 39%
66-67°F 19%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 sept. 2026
61°F ou moins
5%
62-63°F
7%
64-65 °F
11%
66-67°F
19%
68-69°F
39%
70-71 °F
46%
72-73°F
40%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
7%
80°F ou plus
5%
70-71 °F 46%
72-73°F 40%
68-69°F 39%
66-67°F 19%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 sept. 2026
61°F ou moins
$0 Vol.
5%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
7%
64-65 °F
$0 Vol.
11%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
19%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
39%
70-71 °F
$23 Vol.
46%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
40%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
19%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
6%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
7%
80°F ou plus
$0 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from multiple models place the overnight low in New York City on September 17 near 69–70 °F, driving the 46 % market-implied probability on the 70–71 °F bin. Southerly flow ahead of an approaching front and above-normal seasonal guidance from NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center have kept readings several degrees warmer than the 1991–2020 average low of 61 °F for the date. Limited model spread and the proximity of resolution leave little room for a sharp cool-air intrusion, though any eastward shift in the frontal timing or stronger radiational cooling under clearer skies could still pull the minimum into the upper 60s. Updated National Weather Service and ensemble runs expected overnight will determine whether the current consensus holds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 15, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$23Date de fin
17 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 15, 2026, 3:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from multiple models place the overnight low in New York City on September 17 near 69–70 °F, driving the 46 % market-implied probability on the 70–71 °F bin. Southerly flow ahead of an approaching front and above-normal seasonal guidance from NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center have kept readings several degrees warmer than the 1991–2020 average low of 61 °F for the date. Limited model spread and the proximity of resolution leave little room for a sharp cool-air intrusion, though any eastward shift in the frontal timing or stronger radiational cooling under clearer skies could still pull the minimum into the upper 60s. Updated National Weather Service and ensemble runs expected overnight will determine whether the current consensus holds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$23Date de fin
17 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 15, 2026, 3:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts from multiple models place the overnight low in New York City on September 17 near 69–70 °F, driving the 46 % market-implied probability on the 70–71 °F bin. Southerly flow ahead of an approaching front and above-normal seasonal guidance from NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center have kept readings several degrees warmer than the 1991–2020 average low of 61 °F for the date. Limited model spread and the proximity of resolution leave little room for a sharp cool-air intrusion, though any eastward shift in the frontal timing or stronger radiational cooling under clearer skies could still pull the minimum into the upper 60s. Updated National Weather Service and ensemble runs expected overnight will determine whether the current consensus holds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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