Recent rain and extensive cloud cover over Chengdu are suppressing solar heating and capping daytime highs for September 15, driving trader focus on the narrow 21–23°C range. Official forecasts from multiple models indicate 90% precipitation probability with northerly winds and high humidity near 85%, limiting insolation and keeping surface temperatures modest despite seasonal norms. Minor model spreads center on exact cloud thickness and timing of heaviest rain, which directly influences whether the maximum reaches 23°C or stays at 21°C. These near-term atmospheric conditions explain the tight clustering around 22°C as the market-implied consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Chengdu le 15 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Chengdu le 15 septembre ?
22°C 32%
23°C 25%
21°C 23%
20°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 sept. 2026
16°C ou moins
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
4%
20°C
9%
21°C
23%
22°C
32%
23°C
25%
24°C
7%
25°C
4%
26°C ou plus
1%
22°C 32%
23°C 25%
21°C 23%
20°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 sept. 2026
16°C ou moins
$69 Vol.
1%
17°C
$22 Vol.
1%
18°C
$25 Vol.
3%
19°C
$29 Vol.
4%
20°C
$536 Vol.
9%
21°C
$590 Vol.
23%
22°C
$713 Vol.
32%
23°C
$1,877 Vol.
25%
24°C
$282 Vol.
7%
25°C
$88 Vol.
4%
26°C ou plus
$23 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent rain and extensive cloud cover over Chengdu are suppressing solar heating and capping daytime highs for September 15, driving trader focus on the narrow 21–23°C range. Official forecasts from multiple models indicate 90% precipitation probability with northerly winds and high humidity near 85%, limiting insolation and keeping surface temperatures modest despite seasonal norms. Minor model spreads center on exact cloud thickness and timing of heaviest rain, which directly influences whether the maximum reaches 23°C or stays at 21°C. These near-term atmospheric conditions explain the tight clustering around 22°C as the market-implied consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ET
Volume
$4,255Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent rain and extensive cloud cover over Chengdu are suppressing solar heating and capping daytime highs for September 15, driving trader focus on the narrow 21–23°C range. Official forecasts from multiple models indicate 90% precipitation probability with northerly winds and high humidity near 85%, limiting insolation and keeping surface temperatures modest despite seasonal norms. Minor model spreads center on exact cloud thickness and timing of heaviest rain, which directly influences whether the maximum reaches 23°C or stays at 21°C. These near-term atmospheric conditions explain the tight clustering around 22°C as the market-implied consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,255Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent rain and extensive cloud cover over Chengdu are suppressing solar heating and capping daytime highs for September 15, driving trader focus on the narrow 21–23°C range. Official forecasts from multiple models indicate 90% precipitation probability with northerly winds and high humidity near 85%, limiting insolation and keeping surface temperatures modest despite seasonal norms. Minor model spreads center on exact cloud thickness and timing of heaviest rain, which directly influences whether the maximum reaches 23°C or stays at 21°C. These near-term atmospheric conditions explain the tight clustering around 22°C as the market-implied consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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