Recent forecast runs from models like GFS and ECMWF point to persistent cloud cover and widespread rainfall over Chengdu on September 15, limiting overnight radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near 18–20 °C, close to the seasonal baseline for mid-September. Persistent northeasterly flow and high humidity further suppress diurnal temperature swings, reducing the likelihood of sharp drops below 16 °C or spikes above 23 °C. Trader consensus on the 24 °C+ and 14 °C– bins at roughly 37 % each appears driven by uncertainty in how much additional cooling could occur if rain clears earlier than expected or if localized subsidence allows brief clear skies, with upcoming model updates from official Chinese meteorological agencies likely to clarify resolution thresholds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Chengdu le 15 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Chengdu le 15 septembre ?
24°C ou plus 75%
15°C 40%
23°C 40%
14°C ou moins 37.0%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 sept. 2026
14°C ou moins
37%
15°C
40%
16°C
22%
17°C
22%
18°C
22%
19°C
22%
20°C
22%
21°C
21%
22°C
14%
23°C
40%
24°C ou plus
75%
24°C ou plus 75%
15°C 40%
23°C 40%
14°C ou moins 37.0%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 sept. 2026
14°C ou moins
$60 Vol.
37%
15°C
$76 Vol.
40%
16°C
$0 Vol.
22%
17°C
$0 Vol.
22%
18°C
$0 Vol.
22%
19°C
$0 Vol.
22%
20°C
$0 Vol.
22%
21°C
$0 Vol.
21%
22°C
$70 Vol.
14%
23°C
$10 Vol.
40%
24°C ou plus
$10 Vol.
75%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast runs from models like GFS and ECMWF point to persistent cloud cover and widespread rainfall over Chengdu on September 15, limiting overnight radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near 18–20 °C, close to the seasonal baseline for mid-September. Persistent northeasterly flow and high humidity further suppress diurnal temperature swings, reducing the likelihood of sharp drops below 16 °C or spikes above 23 °C. Trader consensus on the 24 °C+ and 14 °C– bins at roughly 37 % each appears driven by uncertainty in how much additional cooling could occur if rain clears earlier than expected or if localized subsidence allows brief clear skies, with upcoming model updates from official Chinese meteorological agencies likely to clarify resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Volume
$226Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast runs from models like GFS and ECMWF point to persistent cloud cover and widespread rainfall over Chengdu on September 15, limiting overnight radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near 18–20 °C, close to the seasonal baseline for mid-September. Persistent northeasterly flow and high humidity further suppress diurnal temperature swings, reducing the likelihood of sharp drops below 16 °C or spikes above 23 °C. Trader consensus on the 24 °C+ and 14 °C– bins at roughly 37 % each appears driven by uncertainty in how much additional cooling could occur if rain clears earlier than expected or if localized subsidence allows brief clear skies, with upcoming model updates from official Chinese meteorological agencies likely to clarify resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$226Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast runs from models like GFS and ECMWF point to persistent cloud cover and widespread rainfall over Chengdu on September 15, limiting overnight radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near 18–20 °C, close to the seasonal baseline for mid-September. Persistent northeasterly flow and high humidity further suppress diurnal temperature swings, reducing the likelihood of sharp drops below 16 °C or spikes above 23 °C. Trader consensus on the 24 °C+ and 14 °C– bins at roughly 37 % each appears driven by uncertainty in how much additional cooling could occur if rain clears earlier than expected or if localized subsidence allows brief clear skies, with upcoming model updates from official Chinese meteorological agencies likely to clarify resolution thresholds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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