Forecast models indicate Beijing will experience mostly clear skies and light southerly winds on September 15, 2026, supporting daytime heating under a stable high-pressure ridge. Consensus highs cluster near 28–31 °C, consistent with the seasonal warming trend that has already produced several days above the 26.5 °C climatological average for the date. The 29 °C outcome leads trader pricing because it aligns closely with ensemble guidance and recent observed maxima, while the modest probability assigned to 30 °C or higher reflects limited upside potential from additional insolation or delayed mixing. Official resolution will rely on the highest instantaneous reading reported by Beijing surface stations, with any late-day cooling or localized variability able to shift the exact value within the narrow range currently favored by the market.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Pékin le 15 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Pékin le 15 septembre ?
29°C 53%
30°C 27%
28°C 15%
27°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 sept. 2026
25°C ou moins
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
5%
28°C
15%
29°C
53%
30°C
27%
31°C
5%
32°C
3%
33°C
2%
34°C
2%
35°C ou plus
1%
29°C 53%
30°C 27%
28°C 15%
27°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 sept. 2026
25°C ou moins
$35 Vol.
2%
26°C
$10 Vol.
2%
27°C
$158 Vol.
5%
28°C
$521 Vol.
15%
29°C
$1,436 Vol.
53%
30°C
$350 Vol.
27%
31°C
$140 Vol.
5%
32°C
$148 Vol.
3%
33°C
$48 Vol.
2%
34°C
$10 Vol.
2%
35°C ou plus
$183 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models indicate Beijing will experience mostly clear skies and light southerly winds on September 15, 2026, supporting daytime heating under a stable high-pressure ridge. Consensus highs cluster near 28–31 °C, consistent with the seasonal warming trend that has already produced several days above the 26.5 °C climatological average for the date. The 29 °C outcome leads trader pricing because it aligns closely with ensemble guidance and recent observed maxima, while the modest probability assigned to 30 °C or higher reflects limited upside potential from additional insolation or delayed mixing. Official resolution will rely on the highest instantaneous reading reported by Beijing surface stations, with any late-day cooling or localized variability able to shift the exact value within the narrow range currently favored by the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ET
Volume
$3,039Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models indicate Beijing will experience mostly clear skies and light southerly winds on September 15, 2026, supporting daytime heating under a stable high-pressure ridge. Consensus highs cluster near 28–31 °C, consistent with the seasonal warming trend that has already produced several days above the 26.5 °C climatological average for the date. The 29 °C outcome leads trader pricing because it aligns closely with ensemble guidance and recent observed maxima, while the modest probability assigned to 30 °C or higher reflects limited upside potential from additional insolation or delayed mixing. Official resolution will rely on the highest instantaneous reading reported by Beijing surface stations, with any late-day cooling or localized variability able to shift the exact value within the narrow range currently favored by the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,039Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models indicate Beijing will experience mostly clear skies and light southerly winds on September 15, 2026, supporting daytime heating under a stable high-pressure ridge. Consensus highs cluster near 28–31 °C, consistent with the seasonal warming trend that has already produced several days above the 26.5 °C climatological average for the date. The 29 °C outcome leads trader pricing because it aligns closely with ensemble guidance and recent observed maxima, while the modest probability assigned to 30 °C or higher reflects limited upside potential from additional insolation or delayed mixing. Official resolution will rely on the highest instantaneous reading reported by Beijing surface stations, with any late-day cooling or localized variability able to shift the exact value within the narrow range currently favored by the market.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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