A stalled high-pressure system east of Texas is sustaining hot, humid conditions across Southeast Texas, driving model consensus for a Tuesday high near 94–96°F in Houston under mostly sunny skies with southeast winds of 5–10 mph. Recent dry weather has limited cloud cover and rainfall, allowing rapid daytime heating from morning lows near 80°F, while elevated humidity keeps heat indices above 105°F without significantly altering actual air temperatures. National Weather Service and private model runs align on mid-90s peaks, consistent with late-summer climatology when highs average 88–92°F. Traders have priced the 94–95°F bin at 52.5% implied probability, reflecting this stable pattern, with only modest weight on slight upward or downward revisions ahead of tomorrow’s official observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Houston le 15 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Houston le 15 septembre ?
94-95°F 53%
92-93°F 28%
96-97°F 10%
90-91°F 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 sept. 2026
85°F ou moins
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
28%
94-95°F
53%
96-97°F
10%
98-99°F
3%
100-101°F
2%
102-103°F
<1%
104°F ou plus
<1%
94-95°F 53%
92-93°F 28%
96-97°F 10%
90-91°F 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 sept. 2026
85°F ou moins
$283 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$56 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
3%
90-91°F
$283 Vol.
5%
92-93°F
$670 Vol.
28%
94-95°F
$1,333 Vol.
53%
96-97°F
$433 Vol.
10%
98-99°F
$0 Vol.
3%
100-101°F
$0 Vol.
2%
102-103°F
$329 Vol.
<1%
104°F ou plus
$328 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A stalled high-pressure system east of Texas is sustaining hot, humid conditions across Southeast Texas, driving model consensus for a Tuesday high near 94–96°F in Houston under mostly sunny skies with southeast winds of 5–10 mph. Recent dry weather has limited cloud cover and rainfall, allowing rapid daytime heating from morning lows near 80°F, while elevated humidity keeps heat indices above 105°F without significantly altering actual air temperatures. National Weather Service and private model runs align on mid-90s peaks, consistent with late-summer climatology when highs average 88–92°F. Traders have priced the 94–95°F bin at 52.5% implied probability, reflecting this stable pattern, with only modest weight on slight upward or downward revisions ahead of tomorrow’s official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ET
Volume
$3,715Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A stalled high-pressure system east of Texas is sustaining hot, humid conditions across Southeast Texas, driving model consensus for a Tuesday high near 94–96°F in Houston under mostly sunny skies with southeast winds of 5–10 mph. Recent dry weather has limited cloud cover and rainfall, allowing rapid daytime heating from morning lows near 80°F, while elevated humidity keeps heat indices above 105°F without significantly altering actual air temperatures. National Weather Service and private model runs align on mid-90s peaks, consistent with late-summer climatology when highs average 88–92°F. Traders have priced the 94–95°F bin at 52.5% implied probability, reflecting this stable pattern, with only modest weight on slight upward or downward revisions ahead of tomorrow’s official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,715Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...A stalled high-pressure system east of Texas is sustaining hot, humid conditions across Southeast Texas, driving model consensus for a Tuesday high near 94–96°F in Houston under mostly sunny skies with southeast winds of 5–10 mph. Recent dry weather has limited cloud cover and rainfall, allowing rapid daytime heating from morning lows near 80°F, while elevated humidity keeps heat indices above 105°F without significantly altering actual air temperatures. National Weather Service and private model runs align on mid-90s peaks, consistent with late-summer climatology when highs average 88–92°F. Traders have priced the 94–95°F bin at 52.5% implied probability, reflecting this stable pattern, with only modest weight on slight upward or downward revisions ahead of tomorrow’s official observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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