**Trader consensus heavily favors a 72-73°F high in San Francisco on September 15, 2026, at 99.9% implied probability, aligning closely with the long-term average daily maximum of roughly 71°F for mid-September.** Official observations from National Weather Service stations, including downtown and airport sites, reflect typical late-summer marine layer influence that moderates temperatures through onshore flow and cloud cover, preventing significant warming. Recent model runs and surface analyses showed no strong offshore flow or upper-level ridging that would drive anomalous heat, keeping conditions near climatological norms. This outcome matches historical patterns where September highs rarely deviate sharply without clear synoptic drivers. Realistic challenges include an unexpected late-day wind shift or revised station data, though such revisions are uncommon once preliminary reports stabilize.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à San Francisco le 15 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à San Francisco le 15 septembre ?
72-73°F 100.0%
63°F ou moins <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$36,827 Vol.
$36,827 Vol.
15 sept. 2026
63°F ou moins
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
100%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77 °F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F ou plus
<1%
72-73°F 100.0%
63°F ou moins <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$36,827 Vol.
$36,827 Vol.
15 sept. 2026
63°F ou moins
$1,625 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$1,588 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$2,725 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$5,401 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$5,852 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$6,407 Vol.
100%
74-75°F
$5,711 Vol.
<1%
76-77 °F
$3,415 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$3,542 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$488 Vol.
<1%
82°F ou plus
$72 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 72-73°F high in San Francisco on September 15, 2026, at 99.9% implied probability, aligning closely with the long-term average daily maximum of roughly 71°F for mid-September.**
Official observations from National Weather Service stations, including downtown and airport sites, reflect typical late-summer marine layer influence that moderates temperatures through onshore flow and cloud cover, preventing significant warming. Recent model runs and surface analyses showed no strong offshore flow or upper-level ridging that would drive anomalous heat, keeping conditions near climatological norms. This outcome matches historical patterns where September highs rarely deviate sharply without clear synoptic drivers.
Realistic challenges include an unexpected late-day wind shift or revised station data, though such revisions are uncommon once preliminary reports stabilize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ET
Volume
$36,827Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 72-73°F high in San Francisco on September 15, 2026, at 99.9% implied probability, aligning closely with the long-term average daily maximum of roughly 71°F for mid-September.**
Official observations from National Weather Service stations, including downtown and airport sites, reflect typical late-summer marine layer influence that moderates temperatures through onshore flow and cloud cover, preventing significant warming. Recent model runs and surface analyses showed no strong offshore flow or upper-level ridging that would drive anomalous heat, keeping conditions near climatological norms. This outcome matches historical patterns where September highs rarely deviate sharply without clear synoptic drivers.
Realistic challenges include an unexpected late-day wind shift or revised station data, though such revisions are uncommon once preliminary reports stabilize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$36,827Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors a 72-73°F high in San Francisco on September 15, 2026, at 99.9% implied probability, aligning closely with the long-term average daily maximum of roughly 71°F for mid-September.** Official observations from National Weather Service stations, including downtown and airport sites, reflect typical late-summer marine layer influence that moderates temperatures through onshore flow and cloud cover, preventing significant warming. Recent model runs and surface analyses showed no strong offshore flow or upper-level ridging that would drive anomalous heat, keeping conditions near climatological norms. This outcome matches historical patterns where September highs rarely deviate sharply without clear synoptic drivers. Realistic challenges include an unexpected late-day wind shift or revised station data, though such revisions are uncommon once preliminary reports stabilize.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
La température minimale à San Francisco sera-t-elle comprise entre 56 et 57°F le 15 septembre ?
94%
Oui
La température maximale à San Francisco sera-t-elle comprise entre 68 et 69°F le 16 septembre ?
47%
Oui
La température la plus élevée à San Francisco sera-t-elle comprise entre 70 et 71°F le 17 septembre ?
45%
Oui
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes