Forecast models from MetService, Met Office, and international ensembles indicate a daily maximum near 14°C in Wellington on September 17 under northerly flow, with widespread cloud, showers, and gusty winds limiting daytime warming above September’s typical 12.5–13°C average. Consensus across sources points to a peak in the early afternoon before cooler southerly shifts arrive, though microscale variability around the harbor and hills introduces modest uncertainty in the exact high. Trader consensus reflected in the market prices—favoring 15°C or 14°C—aligns with this narrow range while pricing in potential for slight upward revisions if models trend warmer overnight. Updated forecast runs and official observations through the day will be the key near-term drivers.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Wellington le 17 septembre ?
Température la plus élevée à Wellington le 17 septembre ?
15°C 51%
14°C 32%
16°C 8%
13°C 6%
NOUVEAU
$10,240 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$10,240 Vol.
17 sept. 2026
9°C ou moins
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
6%
14°C
32%
15°C
51%
16°C
8%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C ou plus
<1%
15°C 51%
14°C 32%
16°C 8%
13°C 6%
NOUVEAU
$10,240 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$10,240 Vol.
17 sept. 2026
9°C ou moins
$261 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$184 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$281 Vol.
1%
12°C
$104 Vol.
2%
13°C
$614 Vol.
6%
14°C
$5,997 Vol.
32%
15°C
$1,363 Vol.
51%
16°C
$564 Vol.
8%
17°C
$216 Vol.
2%
18°C
$256 Vol.
1%
19°C ou plus
$399 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from MetService, Met Office, and international ensembles indicate a daily maximum near 14°C in Wellington on September 17 under northerly flow, with widespread cloud, showers, and gusty winds limiting daytime warming above September’s typical 12.5–13°C average. Consensus across sources points to a peak in the early afternoon before cooler southerly shifts arrive, though microscale variability around the harbor and hills introduces modest uncertainty in the exact high. Trader consensus reflected in the market prices—favoring 15°C or 14°C—aligns with this narrow range while pricing in potential for slight upward revisions if models trend warmer overnight. Updated forecast runs and official observations through the day will be the key near-term drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$10,240Date de fin
17 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from MetService, Met Office, and international ensembles indicate a daily maximum near 14°C in Wellington on September 17 under northerly flow, with widespread cloud, showers, and gusty winds limiting daytime warming above September’s typical 12.5–13°C average. Consensus across sources points to a peak in the early afternoon before cooler southerly shifts arrive, though microscale variability around the harbor and hills introduces modest uncertainty in the exact high. Trader consensus reflected in the market prices—favoring 15°C or 14°C—aligns with this narrow range while pricing in potential for slight upward revisions if models trend warmer overnight. Updated forecast runs and official observations through the day will be the key near-term drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,240Date de fin
17 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from MetService, Met Office, and international ensembles indicate a daily maximum near 14°C in Wellington on September 17 under northerly flow, with widespread cloud, showers, and gusty winds limiting daytime warming above September’s typical 12.5–13°C average. Consensus across sources points to a peak in the early afternoon before cooler southerly shifts arrive, though microscale variability around the harbor and hills introduces modest uncertainty in the exact high. Trader consensus reflected in the market prices—favoring 15°C or 14°C—aligns with this narrow range while pricing in potential for slight upward revisions if models trend warmer overnight. Updated forecast runs and official observations through the day will be the key near-term drivers.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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