Recent forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered showers over Chongqing through September 19, limiting solar insolation and capping daytime maxima near 26–29 °C. These conditions stem from a transitional monsoon pattern with weak steering flow and elevated precipitable water, consistent with seasonal September climatology where average highs hover around 27 °C. Trader consensus reflected in the tightly bunched 26–29 °C outcomes captures remaining uncertainty in exact timing of any partial clearing or convective timing, which could shift the peak by 1–2 °C depending on the final model runs and observational updates.