Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate persistent light rain, extensive cloud cover, and light variable winds over Chongqing on September 17, suppressing daytime heating and keeping the maximum temperature near 21–25 °C. These conditions align with the market’s tight clustering around 21–23 °C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment that typical late-September warming will be limited by moisture and reduced insolation. Historical September averages near 29 °C provide context, but current synoptic patterns and near-term model runs favor values several degrees cooler, with only modest upside risk if rainfall diminishes earlier than expected. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance and ensemble runs scheduled overnight will offer the next key data points for refining resolution probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Chongqing le 17 septembre ?
21°C ou moins 29%
23°C 26%
22°C 25%
24°C 15%
21°C ou moins
29%
22°C
25%
23°C
26%
24°C
15%
25°C
6%
26°C
3%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C ou plus
<1%
21°C ou moins 29%
23°C 26%
22°C 25%
24°C 15%
21°C ou moins
29%
22°C
25%
23°C
26%
24°C
15%
25°C
6%
26°C
3%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate persistent light rain, extensive cloud cover, and light variable winds over Chongqing on September 17, suppressing daytime heating and keeping the maximum temperature near 21–25 °C. These conditions align with the market’s tight clustering around 21–23 °C outcomes, reflecting trader assessment that typical late-September warming will be limited by moisture and reduced insolation. Historical September averages near 29 °C provide context, but current synoptic patterns and near-term model runs favor values several degrees cooler, with only modest upside risk if rainfall diminishes earlier than expected. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance and ensemble runs scheduled overnight will offer the next key data points for refining resolution probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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