Recent forecasts from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and global models such as GFS show Moscow’s September 19 high centering near 19°C under mostly cloudy skies, southwesterly flow at 3–5 m/s, and light precipitation chances that limit daytime heating. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on 19°C, followed by 18°C and 20°C. Mild Atlantic air advection and seasonal cooling from September norms near 17°C support the narrow range, while model consensus on cloud cover and wind timing keeps extremes below 15°C or above 21°C at low implied probabilities. Updated runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Moscou le 19 septembre ?
19°C 53%
18°C 25%
16°C 14%
17°C 10%
13°C ou moins
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
14%
17°C
10%
18°C
25%
19°C
53%
20°C
10%
21°C
6%
22°C
10%
23°C ou plus
9%
19°C 53%
18°C 25%
16°C 14%
17°C 10%
13°C ou moins
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
14%
17°C
10%
18°C
25%
19°C
53%
20°C
10%
21°C
6%
22°C
10%
23°C ou plus
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and global models such as GFS show Moscow’s September 19 high centering near 19°C under mostly cloudy skies, southwesterly flow at 3–5 m/s, and light precipitation chances that limit daytime heating. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on 19°C, followed by 18°C and 20°C. Mild Atlantic air advection and seasonal cooling from September norms near 17°C support the narrow range, while model consensus on cloud cover and wind timing keeps extremes below 15°C or above 21°C at low implied probabilities. Updated runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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