**Trader consensus centers on 7°C as the expected minimum temperature in Moscow on September 19, 2026, aligning closely with the long-term climatological average low of 7.4°C for this date.** Current forecasts from sources such as the Hydrometeorological Center and GFS models indicate typical early-autumn conditions, with overnight temperatures near 9–11°C under partly cloudy skies, southwesterly winds of 5–10 m/s, and no significant cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling expected to push values lower. This stability around seasonal norms, rather than any anomalous weather pattern, underpins the overwhelming 95% market-implied probability. Official station observations, including those from Sheremetyevo or central Moscow sites, will resolve the market based on the precise 24-hour minimum. Unusually rapid clearing or a sharper-than-forecast temperature drop could still shift the outcome toward 5–6°C, though model consensus assigns this low likelihood.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Moscou le 19 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Moscou le 19 septembre ?
7°C 99.5%
4°C 1.0%
5°C 1.0%
6°C 1.0%
$801 Vol.
$801 Vol.
19 sept. 2026
3°C ou moins
Non
4°C
Non
5°C
Non
6°C
Non
7°C
Oui
8°C
Non
9°C
Non
10°C
Non
11°C
Non
12°C
Non
13°C ou plus
Non
7°C 99.5%
4°C 1.0%
5°C 1.0%
6°C 1.0%
$801 Vol.
$801 Vol.
19 sept. 2026
3°C ou moins
$31 Vol.
Non
4°C
$0 Vol.
Non
5°C
$0 Vol.
Non
6°C
$15 Vol.
Non
7°C
$15 Vol.
Oui
8°C
$245 Vol.
Non
9°C
$237 Vol.
Non
10°C
$147 Vol.
Non
11°C
$37 Vol.
Non
12°C
$37 Vol.
Non
13°C ou plus
$37 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on 7°C as the expected minimum temperature in Moscow on September 19, 2026, aligning closely with the long-term climatological average low of 7.4°C for this date.** Current forecasts from sources such as the Hydrometeorological Center and GFS models indicate typical early-autumn conditions, with overnight temperatures near 9–11°C under partly cloudy skies, southwesterly winds of 5–10 m/s, and no significant cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling expected to push values lower. This stability around seasonal norms, rather than any anomalous weather pattern, underpins the overwhelming 95% market-implied probability. Official station observations, including those from Sheremetyevo or central Moscow sites, will resolve the market based on the precise 24-hour minimum. Unusually rapid clearing or a sharper-than-forecast temperature drop could still shift the outcome toward 5–6°C, though model consensus assigns this low likelihood.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 17, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$801Date de fin
19 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 17, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on 7°C as the expected minimum temperature in Moscow on September 19, 2026, aligning closely with the long-term climatological average low of 7.4°C for this date.** Current forecasts from sources such as the Hydrometeorological Center and GFS models indicate typical early-autumn conditions, with overnight temperatures near 9–11°C under partly cloudy skies, southwesterly winds of 5–10 m/s, and no significant cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling expected to push values lower. This stability around seasonal norms, rather than any anomalous weather pattern, underpins the overwhelming 95% market-implied probability. Official station observations, including those from Sheremetyevo or central Moscow sites, will resolve the market based on the precise 24-hour minimum. Unusually rapid clearing or a sharper-than-forecast temperature drop could still shift the outcome toward 5–6°C, though model consensus assigns this low likelihood.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$801Date de fin
19 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 17, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
**Trader consensus centers on 7°C as the expected minimum temperature in Moscow on September 19, 2026, aligning closely with the long-term climatological average low of 7.4°C for this date.** Current forecasts from sources such as the Hydrometeorological Center and GFS models indicate typical early-autumn conditions, with overnight temperatures near 9–11°C under partly cloudy skies, southwesterly winds of 5–10 m/s, and no significant cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling expected to push values lower. This stability around seasonal norms, rather than any anomalous weather pattern, underpins the overwhelming 95% market-implied probability. Official station observations, including those from Sheremetyevo or central Moscow sites, will resolve the market based on the precise 24-hour minimum. Unusually rapid clearing or a sharper-than-forecast temperature drop could still shift the outcome toward 5–6°C, though model consensus assigns this low likelihood.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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