Recent forecasts from GFS and other models indicate Moscow's September 21 overnight low will likely fall in the 13–16 °C range under southerly flow and increasing cloud cover, limiting radiative cooling. Warm advection from the south and expected showers or overcast skies are the main drivers keeping minimum temperatures well above the long-term average of roughly 7 °C while also preventing extremes above 18 °C. Model spread on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture creates the balanced market-implied odds between sub-9 °C and 18 °C-plus outcomes. Updated runs from the Hydrometeorological Center and NCEP ensembles expected within 24 hours will narrow the range ahead of the 21 September resolution window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus basse à Moscou le 21 septembre ?
Température la plus basse à Moscou le 21 septembre ?
8°C ou moins 95%
18°C ou plus 95%
9°C 40%
10°C 40%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 sept. 2026
8°C ou moins
95%
9°C
40%
10°C
40%
11°C
40%
12°C
40%
13°C
22%
14°C
22%
15°C
40%
16°C
40%
17°C
40%
18°C ou plus
95%
8°C ou moins 95%
18°C ou plus 95%
9°C 40%
10°C 40%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 sept. 2026
8°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
95%
9°C
$0 Vol.
40%
10°C
$0 Vol.
40%
11°C
$0 Vol.
40%
12°C
$0 Vol.
40%
13°C
$0 Vol.
22%
14°C
$0 Vol.
22%
15°C
$0 Vol.
40%
16°C
$0 Vol.
40%
17°C
$0 Vol.
40%
18°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
95%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from GFS and other models indicate Moscow's September 21 overnight low will likely fall in the 13–16 °C range under southerly flow and increasing cloud cover, limiting radiative cooling. Warm advection from the south and expected showers or overcast skies are the main drivers keeping minimum temperatures well above the long-term average of roughly 7 °C while also preventing extremes above 18 °C. Model spread on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture creates the balanced market-implied odds between sub-9 °C and 18 °C-plus outcomes. Updated runs from the Hydrometeorological Center and NCEP ensembles expected within 24 hours will narrow the range ahead of the 21 September resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
21 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from GFS and other models indicate Moscow's September 21 overnight low will likely fall in the 13–16 °C range under southerly flow and increasing cloud cover, limiting radiative cooling. Warm advection from the south and expected showers or overcast skies are the main drivers keeping minimum temperatures well above the long-term average of roughly 7 °C while also preventing extremes above 18 °C. Model spread on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture creates the balanced market-implied odds between sub-9 °C and 18 °C-plus outcomes. Updated runs from the Hydrometeorological Center and NCEP ensembles expected within 24 hours will narrow the range ahead of the 21 September resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Date de fin
21 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from GFS and other models indicate Moscow's September 21 overnight low will likely fall in the 13–16 °C range under southerly flow and increasing cloud cover, limiting radiative cooling. Warm advection from the south and expected showers or overcast skies are the main drivers keeping minimum temperatures well above the long-term average of roughly 7 °C while also preventing extremes above 18 °C. Model spread on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture creates the balanced market-implied odds between sub-9 °C and 18 °C-plus outcomes. Updated runs from the Hydrometeorological Center and NCEP ensembles expected within 24 hours will narrow the range ahead of the 21 September resolution window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes