An anticyclone aloft over southern China is sustaining fine, dry conditions across Hong Kong, with light east to northeast winds and strong solar heating expected to push daytime maxima toward the upper end of the official 27–32°C range on September 20. Hong Kong Observatory guidance highlights sunny periods and isolated showers later, while some numerical models indicate brief clearing could allow brief spikes near 33°C. Sea-surface temperatures near 27°C and low precipitation probabilities limit evaporative cooling, but any earlier cloud build-up or showers would cap the peak closer to 31°C. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow spread, with traders weighting the agency forecast against ensemble variability ahead of the daily maximum observation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 20 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 20 septembre ?
32°C 35%
31°C 33%
33°C 18%
34°C 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
20 sept. 2026
26°C ou moins
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
10%
30°C
10%
31°C
33%
32°C
35%
33°C
22%
34°C
14%
35°C
4%
36°C ou plus
<1%
32°C 35%
31°C 33%
33°C 18%
34°C 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
20 sept. 2026
26°C ou moins
$261 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$68 Vol.
1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
6%
29°C
$0 Vol.
10%
30°C
$17 Vol.
10%
31°C
$162 Vol.
33%
32°C
$316 Vol.
35%
33°C
$36 Vol.
22%
34°C
$0 Vol.
14%
35°C
$0 Vol.
4%
36°C ou plus
$111 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.An anticyclone aloft over southern China is sustaining fine, dry conditions across Hong Kong, with light east to northeast winds and strong solar heating expected to push daytime maxima toward the upper end of the official 27–32°C range on September 20. Hong Kong Observatory guidance highlights sunny periods and isolated showers later, while some numerical models indicate brief clearing could allow brief spikes near 33°C. Sea-surface temperatures near 27°C and low precipitation probabilities limit evaporative cooling, but any earlier cloud build-up or showers would cap the peak closer to 31°C. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow spread, with traders weighting the agency forecast against ensemble variability ahead of the daily maximum observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$972Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.An anticyclone aloft over southern China is sustaining fine, dry conditions across Hong Kong, with light east to northeast winds and strong solar heating expected to push daytime maxima toward the upper end of the official 27–32°C range on September 20. Hong Kong Observatory guidance highlights sunny periods and isolated showers later, while some numerical models indicate brief clearing could allow brief spikes near 33°C. Sea-surface temperatures near 27°C and low precipitation probabilities limit evaporative cooling, but any earlier cloud build-up or showers would cap the peak closer to 31°C. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow spread, with traders weighting the agency forecast against ensemble variability ahead of the daily maximum observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$972Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...An anticyclone aloft over southern China is sustaining fine, dry conditions across Hong Kong, with light east to northeast winds and strong solar heating expected to push daytime maxima toward the upper end of the official 27–32°C range on September 20. Hong Kong Observatory guidance highlights sunny periods and isolated showers later, while some numerical models indicate brief clearing could allow brief spikes near 33°C. Sea-surface temperatures near 27°C and low precipitation probabilities limit evaporative cooling, but any earlier cloud build-up or showers would cap the peak closer to 31°C. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow spread, with traders weighting the agency forecast against ensemble variability ahead of the daily maximum observation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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