**Persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and a post-frontal wind shift to the northeast are the main drivers keeping the market focused on the 62–67°F range for NYC’s September 20 minimum.** Official NWS guidance and ensemble output indicate the daily low will occur Sunday night as showers taper, with temperatures bottoming out near 60–62°F under increasing northeasterly flow that advects cooler marine air. Earlier model runs had allowed for slightly milder overnight readings around 64–65°F if clouds broke sooner, which explains the tight clustering between the top two bins. Traders are weighting the stronger consensus for a 60–62°F outcome against lingering uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and boundary-layer mixing, with resolution hinging on the final observed minimum at Central Park. Updated NWS forecasts tonight will provide the next key data point before the overnight period begins.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus basse à New York le 20 septembre ?
Température la plus basse à New York le 20 septembre ?
64-65°F 39%
66-67 °F 32%
62-63°F 11%
68-69 °F 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
20 sept. 2026
55°F ou moins
1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59 °F
2%
60-61°F
5%
62-63°F
18%
64-65°F
39%
66-67 °F
32%
68-69 °F
10%
70-71°F
3%
72-73 °F
2%
74°F ou plus
1%
64-65°F 39%
66-67 °F 32%
62-63°F 11%
68-69 °F 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
20 sept. 2026
55°F ou moins
$41 Vol.
1%
56-57°F
$31 Vol.
1%
58-59 °F
$73 Vol.
2%
60-61°F
$62 Vol.
5%
62-63°F
$1,108 Vol.
18%
64-65°F
$1,051 Vol.
39%
66-67 °F
$899 Vol.
32%
68-69 °F
$177 Vol.
10%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
3%
72-73 °F
$0 Vol.
2%
74°F ou plus
$41 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and a post-frontal wind shift to the northeast are the main drivers keeping the market focused on the 62–67°F range for NYC’s September 20 minimum.** Official NWS guidance and ensemble output indicate the daily low will occur Sunday night as showers taper, with temperatures bottoming out near 60–62°F under increasing northeasterly flow that advects cooler marine air. Earlier model runs had allowed for slightly milder overnight readings around 64–65°F if clouds broke sooner, which explains the tight clustering between the top two bins. Traders are weighting the stronger consensus for a 60–62°F outcome against lingering uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and boundary-layer mixing, with resolution hinging on the final observed minimum at Central Park. Updated NWS forecasts tonight will provide the next key data point before the overnight period begins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 18, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$3,484Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 18, 2026, 3:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and a post-frontal wind shift to the northeast are the main drivers keeping the market focused on the 62–67°F range for NYC’s September 20 minimum.** Official NWS guidance and ensemble output indicate the daily low will occur Sunday night as showers taper, with temperatures bottoming out near 60–62°F under increasing northeasterly flow that advects cooler marine air. Earlier model runs had allowed for slightly milder overnight readings around 64–65°F if clouds broke sooner, which explains the tight clustering between the top two bins. Traders are weighting the stronger consensus for a 60–62°F outcome against lingering uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and boundary-layer mixing, with resolution hinging on the final observed minimum at Central Park. Updated NWS forecasts tonight will provide the next key data point before the overnight period begins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,484Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 18, 2026, 3:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and a post-frontal wind shift to the northeast are the main drivers keeping the market focused on the 62–67°F range for NYC’s September 20 minimum.** Official NWS guidance and ensemble output indicate the daily low will occur Sunday night as showers taper, with temperatures bottoming out near 60–62°F under increasing northeasterly flow that advects cooler marine air. Earlier model runs had allowed for slightly milder overnight readings around 64–65°F if clouds broke sooner, which explains the tight clustering between the top two bins. Traders are weighting the stronger consensus for a 60–62°F outcome against lingering uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and boundary-layer mixing, with resolution hinging on the final observed minimum at Central Park. Updated NWS forecasts tonight will provide the next key data point before the overnight period begins.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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