Recent model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicates Beijing's September 19 high will likely peak near 28–29°C under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity levels around 50–60%. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes, reflecting small differences in forecast timing, cloud thickness, and any brief showers that could cap afternoon warming. Current conditions on September 17 show highs near 30°C, with a slight cooling trend expected through the weekend. Traders weigh these variables against historical September norms of 26–28°C, as updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours could shift the implied probabilities before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Pékin le 19 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Pékin le 19 septembre ?
29°C 34%
28°C 29%
30°C 23%
27°C 13%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 sept. 2026
23°C ou moins
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
5%
27°C
13%
28°C
29%
29°C
34%
30°C
23%
31°C
10%
32°C
13%
33°C ou plus
<1%
29°C 34%
28°C 29%
30°C 23%
27°C 13%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 sept. 2026
23°C ou moins
$309 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$111 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$13 Vol.
1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
5%
27°C
$0 Vol.
13%
28°C
$0 Vol.
29%
29°C
$5 Vol.
34%
30°C
$5 Vol.
23%
31°C
$0 Vol.
10%
32°C
$0 Vol.
13%
33°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicates Beijing's September 19 high will likely peak near 28–29°C under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity levels around 50–60%. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes, reflecting small differences in forecast timing, cloud thickness, and any brief showers that could cap afternoon warming. Current conditions on September 17 show highs near 30°C, with a slight cooling trend expected through the weekend. Traders weigh these variables against historical September norms of 26–28°C, as updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours could shift the implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$443Date de fin
19 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicates Beijing's September 19 high will likely peak near 28–29°C under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity levels around 50–60%. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes, reflecting small differences in forecast timing, cloud thickness, and any brief showers that could cap afternoon warming. Current conditions on September 17 show highs near 30°C, with a slight cooling trend expected through the weekend. Traders weigh these variables against historical September norms of 26–28°C, as updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours could shift the implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$443Date de fin
19 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicates Beijing's September 19 high will likely peak near 28–29°C under partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity levels around 50–60%. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes, reflecting small differences in forecast timing, cloud thickness, and any brief showers that could cap afternoon warming. Current conditions on September 17 show highs near 30°C, with a slight cooling trend expected through the weekend. Traders weigh these variables against historical September norms of 26–28°C, as updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours could shift the implied probabilities before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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