Recent National Weather Service and private model runs indicate a high of 80–82°F for New York City on September 18, driven by northerly flow behind a weak frontal passage that cleared lingering humidity while maintaining mild late-summer warmth. Official guidance shows partly to mostly sunny skies, light north-northwest winds, and minimal cloud cover limiting afternoon heating, placing the most likely peak squarely in the 80–81°F bin. Trader consensus has aligned closely with these updates, giving that range a 51.5% implied probability while assigning secondary support to 82–83°F and 78–79°F. With resolution imminent and no major model shifts expected before tomorrow’s maximum, the market reflects the narrow uncertainty band typical of short-range temperature forecasts this time of year.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à New York le 18 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à New York le 18 septembre ?
80-81 °F 52%
78-79°F 27%
82-83°F 19%
84-85°F 4%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 sept. 2026
71°F ou moins
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
27%
80-81 °F
52%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90°F ou plus
<1%
80-81 °F 52%
78-79°F 27%
82-83°F 19%
84-85°F 4%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 sept. 2026
71°F ou moins
$111 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$444 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$385 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$189 Vol.
2%
78-79°F
$1,099 Vol.
27%
80-81 °F
$1,353 Vol.
52%
82-83°F
$850 Vol.
19%
84-85°F
$461 Vol.
4%
86-87°F
$777 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$171 Vol.
1%
90°F ou plus
$767 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model runs indicate a high of 80–82°F for New York City on September 18, driven by northerly flow behind a weak frontal passage that cleared lingering humidity while maintaining mild late-summer warmth. Official guidance shows partly to mostly sunny skies, light north-northwest winds, and minimal cloud cover limiting afternoon heating, placing the most likely peak squarely in the 80–81°F bin. Trader consensus has aligned closely with these updates, giving that range a 51.5% implied probability while assigning secondary support to 82–83°F and 78–79°F. With resolution imminent and no major model shifts expected before tomorrow’s maximum, the market reflects the narrow uncertainty band typical of short-range temperature forecasts this time of year.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 16, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
Volume
$6,607Date de fin
18 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 16, 2026, 3:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model runs indicate a high of 80–82°F for New York City on September 18, driven by northerly flow behind a weak frontal passage that cleared lingering humidity while maintaining mild late-summer warmth. Official guidance shows partly to mostly sunny skies, light north-northwest winds, and minimal cloud cover limiting afternoon heating, placing the most likely peak squarely in the 80–81°F bin. Trader consensus has aligned closely with these updates, giving that range a 51.5% implied probability while assigning secondary support to 82–83°F and 78–79°F. With resolution imminent and no major model shifts expected before tomorrow’s maximum, the market reflects the narrow uncertainty band typical of short-range temperature forecasts this time of year.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,607Date de fin
18 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 16, 2026, 3:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private model runs indicate a high of 80–82°F for New York City on September 18, driven by northerly flow behind a weak frontal passage that cleared lingering humidity while maintaining mild late-summer warmth. Official guidance shows partly to mostly sunny skies, light north-northwest winds, and minimal cloud cover limiting afternoon heating, placing the most likely peak squarely in the 80–81°F bin. Trader consensus has aligned closely with these updates, giving that range a 51.5% implied probability while assigning secondary support to 82–83°F and 78–79°F. With resolution imminent and no major model shifts expected before tomorrow’s maximum, the market reflects the narrow uncertainty band typical of short-range temperature forecasts this time of year.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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