Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a cool northeast flow behind a frontal passage, with breezy conditions and lingering showers expected to suppress overnight lows into the upper 50s to low 60s on September 20. This setup, following several warmer days with highs near 75°F, has shifted trader focus toward the 62–67°F range as the most probable daily minimum, reflecting consensus on modest cooling without a sharp cold-air outbreak. Cloud cover and elevated dew points should limit radiative cooling, while historical September averages near 57°F provide context for why sub-60°F outcomes remain discounted. Updated model runs and official forecasts through the evening of the 19th will be the next key inputs for refining these implied probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Chicago le 20 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Chicago le 20 septembre ?
64-65°F 44%
62-63°F 40%
60-61°F 38%
66-67°F 21%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
20 sept. 2026
53°F ou moins
1%
54-55 °F
1%
56-57°F
7%
58-59 °F
11%
60-61°F
38%
62-63°F
24%
64-65°F
44%
66-67°F
21%
68-69°F
11%
70-71 °F
7%
72°F ou plus
1%
64-65°F 44%
62-63°F 40%
60-61°F 38%
66-67°F 21%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
20 sept. 2026
53°F ou moins
$0 Vol.
1%
54-55 °F
$0 Vol.
1%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
7%
58-59 °F
$0 Vol.
11%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
38%
62-63°F
$5 Vol.
24%
64-65°F
$16 Vol.
44%
66-67°F
$206 Vol.
21%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
11%
70-71 °F
$0 Vol.
7%
72°F ou plus
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a cool northeast flow behind a frontal passage, with breezy conditions and lingering showers expected to suppress overnight lows into the upper 50s to low 60s on September 20. This setup, following several warmer days with highs near 75°F, has shifted trader focus toward the 62–67°F range as the most probable daily minimum, reflecting consensus on modest cooling without a sharp cold-air outbreak. Cloud cover and elevated dew points should limit radiative cooling, while historical September averages near 57°F provide context for why sub-60°F outcomes remain discounted. Updated model runs and official forecasts through the evening of the 19th will be the next key inputs for refining these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 18, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$227Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 18, 2026, 3:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a cool northeast flow behind a frontal passage, with breezy conditions and lingering showers expected to suppress overnight lows into the upper 50s to low 60s on September 20. This setup, following several warmer days with highs near 75°F, has shifted trader focus toward the 62–67°F range as the most probable daily minimum, reflecting consensus on modest cooling without a sharp cold-air outbreak. Cloud cover and elevated dew points should limit radiative cooling, while historical September averages near 57°F provide context for why sub-60°F outcomes remain discounted. Updated model runs and official forecasts through the evening of the 19th will be the next key inputs for refining these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$227Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 18, 2026, 3:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a cool northeast flow behind a frontal passage, with breezy conditions and lingering showers expected to suppress overnight lows into the upper 50s to low 60s on September 20. This setup, following several warmer days with highs near 75°F, has shifted trader focus toward the 62–67°F range as the most probable daily minimum, reflecting consensus on modest cooling without a sharp cold-air outbreak. Cloud cover and elevated dew points should limit radiative cooling, while historical September averages near 57°F provide context for why sub-60°F outcomes remain discounted. Updated model runs and official forecasts through the evening of the 19th will be the next key inputs for refining these implied probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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