Persistent southwest monsoon flow and scattered convective activity are the main near-term drivers keeping Manila's maximum temperatures clustered around 31–33 °C on 20 September. Official guidance from PAGASA and ensemble forecasts show partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated to scattered thunderstorms, which limit solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling during peak heating hours. An active El Niño background adds slight warmth relative to long-term September normals (≈31 °C), while Manila’s urban heat island can locally boost readings by 1–2 °C on days with reduced cloud cover. The tight spread among 32 °C (34 %), 33 °C (24.5 %), and 34 °C (19.5 %) outcomes reflects uncertainty in the precise timing and coverage of afternoon showers; clearer breaks would favor the upper end of the range, whereas earlier or heavier rain would cap the daily high nearer 31 °C. Updated model runs and PAGASA’s 24-hour forecasts will be the next key data points for traders.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Manille le 20 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Manille le 20 septembre ?
32°C 34%
33°C 23%
35°C 19%
34°C 19%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
20 sept. 2026
28°C ou moins
<1%
29°C
8%
30°C
10%
31°C
15%
32°C
34%
33°C
25%
34°C
19%
35°C
19%
36°C
13%
37°C
<1%
38°C ou plus
<1%
32°C 34%
33°C 23%
35°C 19%
34°C 19%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
20 sept. 2026
28°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
8%
30°C
$2 Vol.
10%
31°C
$0 Vol.
15%
32°C
$81 Vol.
34%
33°C
$4 Vol.
25%
34°C
$0 Vol.
19%
35°C
$0 Vol.
19%
36°C
$0 Vol.
13%
37°C
$117 Vol.
<1%
38°C ou plus
$181 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon flow and scattered convective activity are the main near-term drivers keeping Manila's maximum temperatures clustered around 31–33 °C on 20 September. Official guidance from PAGASA and ensemble forecasts show partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated to scattered thunderstorms, which limit solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling during peak heating hours. An active El Niño background adds slight warmth relative to long-term September normals (≈31 °C), while Manila’s urban heat island can locally boost readings by 1–2 °C on days with reduced cloud cover. The tight spread among 32 °C (34 %), 33 °C (24.5 %), and 34 °C (19.5 %) outcomes reflects uncertainty in the precise timing and coverage of afternoon showers; clearer breaks would favor the upper end of the range, whereas earlier or heavier rain would cap the daily high nearer 31 °C. Updated model runs and PAGASA’s 24-hour forecasts will be the next key data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 18, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Volume
$386Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 18, 2026, 12:59 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon flow and scattered convective activity are the main near-term drivers keeping Manila's maximum temperatures clustered around 31–33 °C on 20 September. Official guidance from PAGASA and ensemble forecasts show partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated to scattered thunderstorms, which limit solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling during peak heating hours. An active El Niño background adds slight warmth relative to long-term September normals (≈31 °C), while Manila’s urban heat island can locally boost readings by 1–2 °C on days with reduced cloud cover. The tight spread among 32 °C (34 %), 33 °C (24.5 %), and 34 °C (19.5 %) outcomes reflects uncertainty in the precise timing and coverage of afternoon showers; clearer breaks would favor the upper end of the range, whereas earlier or heavier rain would cap the daily high nearer 31 °C. Updated model runs and PAGASA’s 24-hour forecasts will be the next key data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$386Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 18, 2026, 12:59 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon flow and scattered convective activity are the main near-term drivers keeping Manila's maximum temperatures clustered around 31–33 °C on 20 September. Official guidance from PAGASA and ensemble forecasts show partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated to scattered thunderstorms, which limit solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling during peak heating hours. An active El Niño background adds slight warmth relative to long-term September normals (≈31 °C), while Manila’s urban heat island can locally boost readings by 1–2 °C on days with reduced cloud cover. The tight spread among 32 °C (34 %), 33 °C (24.5 %), and 34 °C (19.5 %) outcomes reflects uncertainty in the precise timing and coverage of afternoon showers; clearer breaks would favor the upper end of the range, whereas earlier or heavier rain would cap the daily high nearer 31 °C. Updated model runs and PAGASA’s 24-hour forecasts will be the next key data points for traders.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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