Current forecast models from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles like GFS indicate a maximum temperature near 31°C in Tel Aviv on September 21 under partly cloudy skies with moderate northwest winds and low precipitation chances. This consensus, supported by recent observational data showing stable late-summer Mediterranean conditions without incoming fronts or heat anomalies, positions 31°C as the leading market-implied outcome at 54%. Nearby probabilities for 30°C reflect minor model spread on peak timing and urban heat effects, while lower odds for 32°C or below 30°C align with historical September variability and the absence of extreme drivers. Updated model runs and official briefings remain key near-term catalysts for any shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Tel Aviv le 21 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Tel Aviv le 21 septembre ?
31°C 53%
30°C 30%
32°C 9.4%
27°C ou moins 4.8%
NOUVEAU
$38,787 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$38,787 Vol.
21 sept. 2026
27°C ou moins
5%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
30%
31°C
53%
32°C
9%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C ou plus
<1%
31°C 53%
30°C 30%
32°C 9.4%
27°C ou moins 4.8%
NOUVEAU
$38,787 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$38,787 Vol.
21 sept. 2026
27°C ou moins
$6,899 Vol.
5%
28°C
$3,367 Vol.
2%
29°C
$2,905 Vol.
2%
30°C
$7,733 Vol.
30%
31°C
$7,648 Vol.
53%
32°C
$4,539 Vol.
9%
33°C
$2,468 Vol.
2%
34°C
$607 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$1,248 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$1,337 Vol.
<1%
37°C ou plus
$36 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles like GFS indicate a maximum temperature near 31°C in Tel Aviv on September 21 under partly cloudy skies with moderate northwest winds and low precipitation chances. This consensus, supported by recent observational data showing stable late-summer Mediterranean conditions without incoming fronts or heat anomalies, positions 31°C as the leading market-implied outcome at 54%. Nearby probabilities for 30°C reflect minor model spread on peak timing and urban heat effects, while lower odds for 32°C or below 30°C align with historical September variability and the absence of extreme drivers. Updated model runs and official briefings remain key near-term catalysts for any shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$38,787Date de fin
21 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles like GFS indicate a maximum temperature near 31°C in Tel Aviv on September 21 under partly cloudy skies with moderate northwest winds and low precipitation chances. This consensus, supported by recent observational data showing stable late-summer Mediterranean conditions without incoming fronts or heat anomalies, positions 31°C as the leading market-implied outcome at 54%. Nearby probabilities for 30°C reflect minor model spread on peak timing and urban heat effects, while lower odds for 32°C or below 30°C align with historical September variability and the absence of extreme drivers. Updated model runs and official briefings remain key near-term catalysts for any shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$38,787Date de fin
21 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles like GFS indicate a maximum temperature near 31°C in Tel Aviv on September 21 under partly cloudy skies with moderate northwest winds and low precipitation chances. This consensus, supported by recent observational data showing stable late-summer Mediterranean conditions without incoming fronts or heat anomalies, positions 31°C as the leading market-implied outcome at 54%. Nearby probabilities for 30°C reflect minor model spread on peak timing and urban heat effects, while lower odds for 32°C or below 30°C align with historical September variability and the absence of extreme drivers. Updated model runs and official briefings remain key near-term catalysts for any shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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