Mild Atlantic airflow and persistent cloud cover have limited radiative cooling overnight, keeping London's minimum temperature elevated for September 15. Met Office guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate overnight lows near 14°C under light westerly winds, yet recent model runs and surface observations suggest the actual daily minimum may stabilize closer to 16–17°C due to urban heat retention and incomplete clearing. Trader consensus, reflected in the 63% implied probability for 17°C and 37.5% for 16°C, aligns with this uncertainty range ahead of final station verification, while lower outcomes carry minimal weight given the current thermal profile.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Londres le 15 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Londres le 15 septembre ?
17°C 100.0%
11°C ou moins <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$6,459 Vol.
$6,459 Vol.
15 sept. 2026
11°C ou moins
Non
12°C
Non
13°C
Non
14°C
Non
15°C
Non
16°C
Non
17°C
Oui
18°C
Non
19°C
Non
20°C
Non
21°C ou plus
Non
17°C 100.0%
11°C ou moins <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$6,459 Vol.
$6,459 Vol.
15 sept. 2026
11°C ou moins
$239 Vol.
Non
12°C
$131 Vol.
Non
13°C
$401 Vol.
Non
14°C
$442 Vol.
Non
15°C
$1,793 Vol.
Non
16°C
$1,029 Vol.
Non
17°C
$1,440 Vol.
Oui
18°C
$510 Vol.
Non
19°C
$389 Vol.
Non
20°C
$65 Vol.
Non
21°C ou plus
$20 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mild Atlantic airflow and persistent cloud cover have limited radiative cooling overnight, keeping London's minimum temperature elevated for September 15. Met Office guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate overnight lows near 14°C under light westerly winds, yet recent model runs and surface observations suggest the actual daily minimum may stabilize closer to 16–17°C due to urban heat retention and incomplete clearing. Trader consensus, reflected in the 63% implied probability for 17°C and 37.5% for 16°C, aligns with this uncertainty range ahead of final station verification, while lower outcomes carry minimal weight given the current thermal profile.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
Volume
$6,459Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mild Atlantic airflow and persistent cloud cover have limited radiative cooling overnight, keeping London's minimum temperature elevated for September 15. Met Office guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate overnight lows near 14°C under light westerly winds, yet recent model runs and surface observations suggest the actual daily minimum may stabilize closer to 16–17°C due to urban heat retention and incomplete clearing. Trader consensus, reflected in the 63% implied probability for 17°C and 37.5% for 16°C, aligns with this uncertainty range ahead of final station verification, while lower outcomes carry minimal weight given the current thermal profile.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,459Date de fin
15 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Mild Atlantic airflow and persistent cloud cover have limited radiative cooling overnight, keeping London's minimum temperature elevated for September 15. Met Office guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate overnight lows near 14°C under light westerly winds, yet recent model runs and surface observations suggest the actual daily minimum may stabilize closer to 16–17°C due to urban heat retention and incomplete clearing. Trader consensus, reflected in the 63% implied probability for 17°C and 37.5% for 16°C, aligns with this uncertainty range ahead of final station verification, while lower outcomes carry minimal weight given the current thermal profile.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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