Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for New York City on September 25 shows overnight lows centered in the mid-50s to low 60s°F under persistent northeasterly flow, cloud cover, and a modest chance of showers that could limit radiational cooling. Trader sentiment remains evenly split between sub-50°F and 68°F+ outcomes because short-range forecast uncertainty is elevated: small shifts in the timing of a weak frontal boundary, wind speed, or boundary-layer moisture can alter minimum temperatures by several degrees. Historical climatology places the September 25 average low near 58°F, yet the current pattern favors slightly below-normal readings without strong signals for either extreme. Updated model runs and official forecast discussions expected over the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range of plausible outcomes before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à New York le 25 septembre ?
58-59 °F 37%
50-51°F 33%
64-65 °F 33%
66-67°F 32%
49°F ou moins
27%
50-51°F
33%
52-53°F
29%
54-55°F
31%
56-57 °F
29%
58-59 °F
37%
60-61°F
24%
62-63°F
12%
64-65 °F
33%
66-67°F
32%
68°F ou plus
26%
58-59 °F 37%
50-51°F 33%
64-65 °F 33%
66-67°F 32%
49°F ou moins
27%
50-51°F
33%
52-53°F
29%
54-55°F
31%
56-57 °F
29%
58-59 °F
37%
60-61°F
24%
62-63°F
12%
64-65 °F
33%
66-67°F
32%
68°F ou plus
26%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 23, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for New York City on September 25 shows overnight lows centered in the mid-50s to low 60s°F under persistent northeasterly flow, cloud cover, and a modest chance of showers that could limit radiational cooling. Trader sentiment remains evenly split between sub-50°F and 68°F+ outcomes because short-range forecast uncertainty is elevated: small shifts in the timing of a weak frontal boundary, wind speed, or boundary-layer moisture can alter minimum temperatures by several degrees. Historical climatology places the September 25 average low near 58°F, yet the current pattern favors slightly below-normal readings without strong signals for either extreme. Updated model runs and official forecast discussions expected over the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range of plausible outcomes before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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