Latest forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a high around 24–26°C for Tokyo on September 23, with ensemble spreads reflecting modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover and light southerly flow. Sea surface temperatures in the adjacent Pacific remain near seasonal norms, supporting limited daytime heating, while a weak frontal boundary may enhance mixing and cap peaks. Historical late-September averages hover near 25°C, providing a baseline that aligns with the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 24°C and 26°C. Final resolution will depend on the official 24-hour maximum recorded at the Tokyo station, with model updates through the evening of September 22 likely to narrow the range before measurement.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Tokyo le 23 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Tokyo le 23 septembre ?
25°C 31%
24°C 30%
26°C 21%
23°C 15%
NOUVEAU
$10,348 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$10,348 Vol.
23 sept. 2026
20°C ou moins
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
4%
23°C
15%
24°C
30%
25°C
31%
26°C
21%
27°C
5%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C ou plus
<1%
25°C 31%
24°C 30%
26°C 21%
23°C 15%
NOUVEAU
$10,348 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$10,348 Vol.
23 sept. 2026
20°C ou moins
$331 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$406 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$285 Vol.
4%
23°C
$1,369 Vol.
15%
24°C
$1,826 Vol.
30%
25°C
$1,266 Vol.
31%
26°C
$2,862 Vol.
21%
27°C
$555 Vol.
5%
28°C
$227 Vol.
2%
29°C
$356 Vol.
<1%
30°C ou plus
$865 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a high around 24–26°C for Tokyo on September 23, with ensemble spreads reflecting modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover and light southerly flow. Sea surface temperatures in the adjacent Pacific remain near seasonal norms, supporting limited daytime heating, while a weak frontal boundary may enhance mixing and cap peaks. Historical late-September averages hover near 25°C, providing a baseline that aligns with the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 24°C and 26°C. Final resolution will depend on the official 24-hour maximum recorded at the Tokyo station, with model updates through the evening of September 22 likely to narrow the range before measurement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$10,348Date de fin
23 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a high around 24–26°C for Tokyo on September 23, with ensemble spreads reflecting modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover and light southerly flow. Sea surface temperatures in the adjacent Pacific remain near seasonal norms, supporting limited daytime heating, while a weak frontal boundary may enhance mixing and cap peaks. Historical late-September averages hover near 25°C, providing a baseline that aligns with the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 24°C and 26°C. Final resolution will depend on the official 24-hour maximum recorded at the Tokyo station, with model updates through the evening of September 22 likely to narrow the range before measurement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,348Date de fin
23 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a high around 24–26°C for Tokyo on September 23, with ensemble spreads reflecting modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover and light southerly flow. Sea surface temperatures in the adjacent Pacific remain near seasonal norms, supporting limited daytime heating, while a weak frontal boundary may enhance mixing and cap peaks. Historical late-September averages hover near 25°C, providing a baseline that aligns with the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 24°C and 26°C. Final resolution will depend on the official 24-hour maximum recorded at the Tokyo station, with model updates through the evening of September 22 likely to narrow the range before measurement.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes