Recent forecasts from GFS and other models indicate a high near 13–16°C for Warsaw on September 24, driven by west-to-northwesterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and a chance of light showers or drizzle that could cap afternoon warming. Ensemble spreads and minor timing differences in any precipitation or breaks in cloud explain the tight clustering around 13–15°C in trader pricing, consistent with late-September climatology where daily maxima average near 16°C. Westerly winds and surface pressures around 1013–1015 hPa limit stronger advection of warmer air, while model-to-model variations in boundary-layer moisture and insolation create the observed uncertainty range. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 24 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 24 septembre ?
14°C 31%
15°C 28%
13°C 19%
16°C 17%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 sept. 2026
9°C ou moins
<1%
10°C
4%
11°C
16%
12°C
10%
13°C
19%
14°C
31%
15°C
28%
16°C
17%
17°C
8%
18°C
1%
19°C ou plus
<1%
14°C 31%
15°C 28%
13°C 19%
16°C 17%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 sept. 2026
9°C ou moins
$20 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$0 Vol.
4%
11°C
$0 Vol.
16%
12°C
$0 Vol.
10%
13°C
$0 Vol.
19%
14°C
$3 Vol.
31%
15°C
$3 Vol.
28%
16°C
$21 Vol.
17%
17°C
$7 Vol.
8%
18°C
$0 Vol.
1%
19°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from GFS and other models indicate a high near 13–16°C for Warsaw on September 24, driven by west-to-northwesterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and a chance of light showers or drizzle that could cap afternoon warming. Ensemble spreads and minor timing differences in any precipitation or breaks in cloud explain the tight clustering around 13–15°C in trader pricing, consistent with late-September climatology where daily maxima average near 16°C. Westerly winds and surface pressures around 1013–1015 hPa limit stronger advection of warmer air, while model-to-model variations in boundary-layer moisture and insolation create the observed uncertainty range. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$54Date de fin
24 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from GFS and other models indicate a high near 13–16°C for Warsaw on September 24, driven by west-to-northwesterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and a chance of light showers or drizzle that could cap afternoon warming. Ensemble spreads and minor timing differences in any precipitation or breaks in cloud explain the tight clustering around 13–15°C in trader pricing, consistent with late-September climatology where daily maxima average near 16°C. Westerly winds and surface pressures around 1013–1015 hPa limit stronger advection of warmer air, while model-to-model variations in boundary-layer moisture and insolation create the observed uncertainty range. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$54Date de fin
24 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from GFS and other models indicate a high near 13–16°C for Warsaw on September 24, driven by west-to-northwesterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and a chance of light showers or drizzle that could cap afternoon warming. Ensemble spreads and minor timing differences in any precipitation or breaks in cloud explain the tight clustering around 13–15°C in trader pricing, consistent with late-September climatology where daily maxima average near 16°C. Westerly winds and surface pressures around 1013–1015 hPa limit stronger advection of warmer air, while model-to-model variations in boundary-layer moisture and insolation create the observed uncertainty range. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes