Current short-range forecast models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS show Warsaw overnight lows stabilizing near 8–10°C on September 24, with light westerly winds, increasing cloud cover, and modest radiative cooling under autumnal conditions. These factors keep the implied probability split between the 2°C-or-below and 12°C-or-higher outcomes at 48% each, as traders weigh potential for clearer skies or a brief cold-air advection against the more likely stable boundary layer. Model runs differ modestly on dew-point depression and minimum timing, sustaining the even odds across mid-range bins while historical September climatology (average lows near 10°C) provides limited additional guidance this close to resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Varsovie le 24 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Varsovie le 24 septembre ?
2°C ou moins 95%
12°C ou plus 95%
6°C 40%
7°C 39%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 sept. 2026
2°C ou moins
95%
3°C
17%
4°C
18%
5°C
23%
6°C
40%
7°C
39%
8°C
39%
9°C
39%
10°C
39%
11°C
39%
12°C ou plus
95%
2°C ou moins 95%
12°C ou plus 95%
6°C 40%
7°C 39%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 sept. 2026
2°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
95%
3°C
$0 Vol.
17%
4°C
$0 Vol.
18%
5°C
$99 Vol.
23%
6°C
$0 Vol.
40%
7°C
$0 Vol.
39%
8°C
$0 Vol.
39%
9°C
$0 Vol.
39%
10°C
$0 Vol.
39%
11°C
$0 Vol.
39%
12°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
95%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecast models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS show Warsaw overnight lows stabilizing near 8–10°C on September 24, with light westerly winds, increasing cloud cover, and modest radiative cooling under autumnal conditions. These factors keep the implied probability split between the 2°C-or-below and 12°C-or-higher outcomes at 48% each, as traders weigh potential for clearer skies or a brief cold-air advection against the more likely stable boundary layer. Model runs differ modestly on dew-point depression and minimum timing, sustaining the even odds across mid-range bins while historical September climatology (average lows near 10°C) provides limited additional guidance this close to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$99Date de fin
24 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecast models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS show Warsaw overnight lows stabilizing near 8–10°C on September 24, with light westerly winds, increasing cloud cover, and modest radiative cooling under autumnal conditions. These factors keep the implied probability split between the 2°C-or-below and 12°C-or-higher outcomes at 48% each, as traders weigh potential for clearer skies or a brief cold-air advection against the more likely stable boundary layer. Model runs differ modestly on dew-point depression and minimum timing, sustaining the even odds across mid-range bins while historical September climatology (average lows near 10°C) provides limited additional guidance this close to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$99Date de fin
24 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecast models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS show Warsaw overnight lows stabilizing near 8–10°C on September 24, with light westerly winds, increasing cloud cover, and modest radiative cooling under autumnal conditions. These factors keep the implied probability split between the 2°C-or-below and 12°C-or-higher outcomes at 48% each, as traders weigh potential for clearer skies or a brief cold-air advection against the more likely stable boundary layer. Model runs differ modestly on dew-point depression and minimum timing, sustaining the even odds across mid-range bins while historical September climatology (average lows near 10°C) provides limited additional guidance this close to resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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