**Recent forecasts for São Paulo indicate a modest warming trend on September 24 following cooler, rainy conditions on the 23rd, with daytime highs most likely in the 18–20 °C range.** Official guidance from the UK Met Office projects a 19 °C maximum under overcast skies with light drizzle possible, while GFS model output and Yr.no data show afternoon peaks near 19–20 °C. Other sources range from 16 °C (cooler marine influence) to 24 °C (warmer interior locations), creating the tight clustering of market odds around 19–21 °C. Key scientific drivers include easterly to southeasterly flow advecting milder air after a frontal passage, persistent low-level cloud limiting solar heating, and light precipitation that can suppress the daily maximum. Historical September averages for the city hover near 23 °C, so current conditions reflect below-normal warmth tied to increased cloud cover and onshore flow. Urban heat-island effects at the primary measurement site and minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing or exact cloud timing explain the narrow spread between the leading 19 °C, 20 °C, and 21 °C outcomes. Updated model runs and official agency briefings in the final hours before the daily maximum will be the main catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Sao Paulo le 24 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Sao Paulo le 24 septembre ?
20°C 32%
19°C 23%
18°C 19%
21°C 18%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 sept. 2026
13°C ou moins
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
4%
18°C
19%
19°C
23%
20°C
32%
21°C
18%
22°C
6%
23°C ou plus
1%
20°C 32%
19°C 23%
18°C 19%
21°C 18%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 sept. 2026
13°C ou moins
$198 Vol.
1%
14°C
$110 Vol.
1%
15°C
$40 Vol.
1%
16°C
$38 Vol.
2%
17°C
$72 Vol.
4%
18°C
$886 Vol.
19%
19°C
$131 Vol.
23%
20°C
$94 Vol.
32%
21°C
$124 Vol.
18%
22°C
$32 Vol.
6%
23°C ou plus
$207 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts for São Paulo indicate a modest warming trend on September 24 following cooler, rainy conditions on the 23rd, with daytime highs most likely in the 18–20 °C range.** Official guidance from the UK Met Office projects a 19 °C maximum under overcast skies with light drizzle possible, while GFS model output and Yr.no data show afternoon peaks near 19–20 °C. Other sources range from 16 °C (cooler marine influence) to 24 °C (warmer interior locations), creating the tight clustering of market odds around 19–21 °C.
Key scientific drivers include easterly to southeasterly flow advecting milder air after a frontal passage, persistent low-level cloud limiting solar heating, and light precipitation that can suppress the daily maximum. Historical September averages for the city hover near 23 °C, so current conditions reflect below-normal warmth tied to increased cloud cover and onshore flow. Urban heat-island effects at the primary measurement site and minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing or exact cloud timing explain the narrow spread between the leading 19 °C, 20 °C, and 21 °C outcomes. Updated model runs and official agency briefings in the final hours before the daily maximum will be the main catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 22, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Volume
$1,931Date de fin
24 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 22, 2026, 8:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts for São Paulo indicate a modest warming trend on September 24 following cooler, rainy conditions on the 23rd, with daytime highs most likely in the 18–20 °C range.** Official guidance from the UK Met Office projects a 19 °C maximum under overcast skies with light drizzle possible, while GFS model output and Yr.no data show afternoon peaks near 19–20 °C. Other sources range from 16 °C (cooler marine influence) to 24 °C (warmer interior locations), creating the tight clustering of market odds around 19–21 °C.
Key scientific drivers include easterly to southeasterly flow advecting milder air after a frontal passage, persistent low-level cloud limiting solar heating, and light precipitation that can suppress the daily maximum. Historical September averages for the city hover near 23 °C, so current conditions reflect below-normal warmth tied to increased cloud cover and onshore flow. Urban heat-island effects at the primary measurement site and minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing or exact cloud timing explain the narrow spread between the leading 19 °C, 20 °C, and 21 °C outcomes. Updated model runs and official agency briefings in the final hours before the daily maximum will be the main catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,931Date de fin
24 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 22, 2026, 8:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts for São Paulo indicate a modest warming trend on September 24 following cooler, rainy conditions on the 23rd, with daytime highs most likely in the 18–20 °C range.** Official guidance from the UK Met Office projects a 19 °C maximum under overcast skies with light drizzle possible, while GFS model output and Yr.no data show afternoon peaks near 19–20 °C. Other sources range from 16 °C (cooler marine influence) to 24 °C (warmer interior locations), creating the tight clustering of market odds around 19–21 °C. Key scientific drivers include easterly to southeasterly flow advecting milder air after a frontal passage, persistent low-level cloud limiting solar heating, and light precipitation that can suppress the daily maximum. Historical September averages for the city hover near 23 °C, so current conditions reflect below-normal warmth tied to increased cloud cover and onshore flow. Urban heat-island effects at the primary measurement site and minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing or exact cloud timing explain the narrow spread between the leading 19 °C, 20 °C, and 21 °C outcomes. Updated model runs and official agency briefings in the final hours before the daily maximum will be the main catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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