**Northeast winds and persistent onshore flow are the main factors keeping trader-implied odds clustered around 66–71 °F for New York City’s September 25 high.** Official National Weather Service and ensemble guidance show a breezy, cooler-than-normal pattern with highs forecast in the upper 60s, supported by 15–20 mph northeast winds and a modest chance of showers that could limit daytime warming. This setup deviates from the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 73 °F, tightening the distribution across the 66–67 °F, 68–69 °F, and 70–71 °F bins while leaving lower and higher outcomes with minimal market weight. Fresh model runs and midday observations over the next 48 hours will determine whether any late warming or additional cloud cover shifts the outcome within that narrow range.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à New York le 25 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à New York le 25 septembre ?
66-67°F 19%
68-69°F 19%
70-71°F 19%
74-75°F 18%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 sept. 2026
57°F ou moins
3%
58-59°F
5%
60-61°F
6%
62-63°F
8%
64-65°F
5%
66-67°F
19%
68-69°F
19%
70-71°F
19%
72-73°F
17%
74-75°F
18%
76°F ou plus
7%
66-67°F 19%
68-69°F 19%
70-71°F 19%
74-75°F 18%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 sept. 2026
57°F ou moins
$0 Vol.
3%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
5%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
6%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
8%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
5%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
19%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
19%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
19%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
17%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
18%
76°F ou plus
$0 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Northeast winds and persistent onshore flow are the main factors keeping trader-implied odds clustered around 66–71 °F for New York City’s September 25 high.** Official National Weather Service and ensemble guidance show a breezy, cooler-than-normal pattern with highs forecast in the upper 60s, supported by 15–20 mph northeast winds and a modest chance of showers that could limit daytime warming. This setup deviates from the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 73 °F, tightening the distribution across the 66–67 °F, 68–69 °F, and 70–71 °F bins while leaving lower and higher outcomes with minimal market weight. Fresh model runs and midday observations over the next 48 hours will determine whether any late warming or additional cloud cover shifts the outcome within that narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 23, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
25 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 23, 2026, 2:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Northeast winds and persistent onshore flow are the main factors keeping trader-implied odds clustered around 66–71 °F for New York City’s September 25 high.** Official National Weather Service and ensemble guidance show a breezy, cooler-than-normal pattern with highs forecast in the upper 60s, supported by 15–20 mph northeast winds and a modest chance of showers that could limit daytime warming. This setup deviates from the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 73 °F, tightening the distribution across the 66–67 °F, 68–69 °F, and 70–71 °F bins while leaving lower and higher outcomes with minimal market weight. Fresh model runs and midday observations over the next 48 hours will determine whether any late warming or additional cloud cover shifts the outcome within that narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Date de fin
25 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 23, 2026, 2:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Northeast winds and persistent onshore flow are the main factors keeping trader-implied odds clustered around 66–71 °F for New York City’s September 25 high.** Official National Weather Service and ensemble guidance show a breezy, cooler-than-normal pattern with highs forecast in the upper 60s, supported by 15–20 mph northeast winds and a modest chance of showers that could limit daytime warming. This setup deviates from the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 73 °F, tightening the distribution across the 66–67 °F, 68–69 °F, and 70–71 °F bins while leaving lower and higher outcomes with minimal market weight. Fresh model runs and midday observations over the next 48 hours will determine whether any late warming or additional cloud cover shifts the outcome within that narrow range.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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