Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate cloud cover and showers or thunderstorms will limit peak heating in Guangzhou on September 22, with consensus highs centered near 31–33 °C. Persistent moisture from a regional weather pattern, combined with reduced solar insolation under overcast skies, is the main driver suppressing temperatures relative to the prior hot spell of 34–36 °C. Historical September averages near 30–31 °C provide context, while model spread and timing of any afternoon clearing introduce uncertainty around the exact daily maximum. Traders appear to assign meaningful probability to 34–35 °C outcomes, reflecting residual warmth if rainfall is lighter or delayed, yet the market’s tight distribution across 31–35 °C underscores the sensitivity to the next official updates from Chinese meteorological agencies.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Guangzhou le 22 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Guangzhou le 22 septembre ?
31°C 36%
35°C 22%
34°C 22%
32°C 19%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
22 sept. 2026
27°C ou moins
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
15%
31°C
36%
32°C
19%
33°C
18%
34°C
22%
35°C
28%
36°C
12%
37°C ou plus
17%
31°C 36%
35°C 22%
34°C 22%
32°C 19%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
22 sept. 2026
27°C ou moins
$6 Vol.
1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
2%
30°C
$0 Vol.
15%
31°C
$0 Vol.
36%
32°C
$0 Vol.
19%
33°C
$0 Vol.
18%
34°C
$5 Vol.
22%
35°C
$24 Vol.
28%
36°C
$0 Vol.
12%
37°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate cloud cover and showers or thunderstorms will limit peak heating in Guangzhou on September 22, with consensus highs centered near 31–33 °C. Persistent moisture from a regional weather pattern, combined with reduced solar insolation under overcast skies, is the main driver suppressing temperatures relative to the prior hot spell of 34–36 °C. Historical September averages near 30–31 °C provide context, while model spread and timing of any afternoon clearing introduce uncertainty around the exact daily maximum. Traders appear to assign meaningful probability to 34–35 °C outcomes, reflecting residual warmth if rainfall is lighter or delayed, yet the market’s tight distribution across 31–35 °C underscores the sensitivity to the next official updates from Chinese meteorological agencies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$35Date de fin
22 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate cloud cover and showers or thunderstorms will limit peak heating in Guangzhou on September 22, with consensus highs centered near 31–33 °C. Persistent moisture from a regional weather pattern, combined with reduced solar insolation under overcast skies, is the main driver suppressing temperatures relative to the prior hot spell of 34–36 °C. Historical September averages near 30–31 °C provide context, while model spread and timing of any afternoon clearing introduce uncertainty around the exact daily maximum. Traders appear to assign meaningful probability to 34–35 °C outcomes, reflecting residual warmth if rainfall is lighter or delayed, yet the market’s tight distribution across 31–35 °C underscores the sensitivity to the next official updates from Chinese meteorological agencies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$35Date de fin
22 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate cloud cover and showers or thunderstorms will limit peak heating in Guangzhou on September 22, with consensus highs centered near 31–33 °C. Persistent moisture from a regional weather pattern, combined with reduced solar insolation under overcast skies, is the main driver suppressing temperatures relative to the prior hot spell of 34–36 °C. Historical September averages near 30–31 °C provide context, while model spread and timing of any afternoon clearing introduce uncertainty around the exact daily maximum. Traders appear to assign meaningful probability to 34–35 °C outcomes, reflecting residual warmth if rainfall is lighter or delayed, yet the market’s tight distribution across 31–35 °C underscores the sensitivity to the next official updates from Chinese meteorological agencies.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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