Latest numerical weather models project a daily maximum of 25–26°C in Chengdu on September 22 under mostly cloudy skies with a chance of light showers or drizzle. High humidity, light winds, and reduced solar insolation from persistent cloud cover in the Sichuan Basin are limiting daytime heating, keeping values close to the late-September climatological average of around 25°C. Recent forecast updates show only modest spread across ensembles, with precipitation timing and coverage as the main variables that could shift the peak by 1°C in either direction. This tight distribution of outcomes underpins the closely matched market-implied probabilities centered on 24–26°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Chengdu le 22 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Chengdu le 22 septembre ?
28°C 37%
26°C 26%
25°C 24%
27°C 24%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
22 sept. 2026
22 °C ou moins
18%
23°C
22%
24°C
24%
25°C
24%
26°C
26%
27°C
24%
28°C
37%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C ou plus
2%
28°C 37%
26°C 26%
25°C 24%
27°C 24%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
22 sept. 2026
22 °C ou moins
$0 Vol.
18%
23°C
$14 Vol.
22%
24°C
$0 Vol.
24%
25°C
$10 Vol.
24%
26°C
$0 Vol.
26%
27°C
$0 Vol.
24%
28°C
$0 Vol.
37%
29°C
$0 Vol.
4%
30°C
$0 Vol.
2%
31°C
$0 Vol.
2%
32°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather models project a daily maximum of 25–26°C in Chengdu on September 22 under mostly cloudy skies with a chance of light showers or drizzle. High humidity, light winds, and reduced solar insolation from persistent cloud cover in the Sichuan Basin are limiting daytime heating, keeping values close to the late-September climatological average of around 25°C. Recent forecast updates show only modest spread across ensembles, with precipitation timing and coverage as the main variables that could shift the peak by 1°C in either direction. This tight distribution of outcomes underpins the closely matched market-implied probabilities centered on 24–26°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$24Date de fin
22 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather models project a daily maximum of 25–26°C in Chengdu on September 22 under mostly cloudy skies with a chance of light showers or drizzle. High humidity, light winds, and reduced solar insolation from persistent cloud cover in the Sichuan Basin are limiting daytime heating, keeping values close to the late-September climatological average of around 25°C. Recent forecast updates show only modest spread across ensembles, with precipitation timing and coverage as the main variables that could shift the peak by 1°C in either direction. This tight distribution of outcomes underpins the closely matched market-implied probabilities centered on 24–26°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$24Date de fin
22 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather models project a daily maximum of 25–26°C in Chengdu on September 22 under mostly cloudy skies with a chance of light showers or drizzle. High humidity, light winds, and reduced solar insolation from persistent cloud cover in the Sichuan Basin are limiting daytime heating, keeping values close to the late-September climatological average of around 25°C. Recent forecast updates show only modest spread across ensembles, with precipitation timing and coverage as the main variables that could shift the peak by 1°C in either direction. This tight distribution of outcomes underpins the closely matched market-implied probabilities centered on 24–26°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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