Latest numerical weather prediction models show daytime highs in Guangzhou on September 21 likely reaching the mid-30s Celsius, driven by warm air advection under a lingering subtropical high combined with light southeasterly flow. Recent observations indicate surface temperatures near 34–35°C on preceding days, though increasing cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms—forecast with 60% probability—could limit peak readings through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Ensemble spreads reflect uncertainty in convective timing and intensity, aligning with trader emphasis on 35–36°C outcomes over lower historical September averages near 32°C. Updated runs from regional agencies and global models will provide key refinements before market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Guangzhou le 21 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Guangzhou le 21 septembre ?
36°C 33%
35°C 30%
34°C 17%
37°C ou plus 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 sept. 2026
27°C ou moins
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
6%
34°C
17%
35°C
30%
36°C
33%
37°C ou plus
14%
36°C 33%
35°C 30%
34°C 17%
37°C ou plus 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 sept. 2026
27°C ou moins
$267 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$111 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$111 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$852 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$75 Vol.
1%
32°C
$174 Vol.
4%
33°C
$391 Vol.
6%
34°C
$973 Vol.
17%
35°C
$532 Vol.
30%
36°C
$505 Vol.
33%
37°C ou plus
$1,146 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models show daytime highs in Guangzhou on September 21 likely reaching the mid-30s Celsius, driven by warm air advection under a lingering subtropical high combined with light southeasterly flow. Recent observations indicate surface temperatures near 34–35°C on preceding days, though increasing cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms—forecast with 60% probability—could limit peak readings through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Ensemble spreads reflect uncertainty in convective timing and intensity, aligning with trader emphasis on 35–36°C outcomes over lower historical September averages near 32°C. Updated runs from regional agencies and global models will provide key refinements before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$5,137Date de fin
21 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models show daytime highs in Guangzhou on September 21 likely reaching the mid-30s Celsius, driven by warm air advection under a lingering subtropical high combined with light southeasterly flow. Recent observations indicate surface temperatures near 34–35°C on preceding days, though increasing cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms—forecast with 60% probability—could limit peak readings through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Ensemble spreads reflect uncertainty in convective timing and intensity, aligning with trader emphasis on 35–36°C outcomes over lower historical September averages near 32°C. Updated runs from regional agencies and global models will provide key refinements before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,137Date de fin
21 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models show daytime highs in Guangzhou on September 21 likely reaching the mid-30s Celsius, driven by warm air advection under a lingering subtropical high combined with light southeasterly flow. Recent observations indicate surface temperatures near 34–35°C on preceding days, though increasing cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms—forecast with 60% probability—could limit peak readings through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Ensemble spreads reflect uncertainty in convective timing and intensity, aligning with trader emphasis on 35–36°C outcomes over lower historical September averages near 32°C. Updated runs from regional agencies and global models will provide key refinements before market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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