Latest forecasts from global and regional models indicate a high near 30°C in Wuhan on September 20 under partly cloudy skies transitioning from current overcast conditions, supporting the market's tight clustering around 29–32°C. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover modulating solar insolation, northeast winds limiting warm advection from the south, and boundary-layer humidity influencing daytime heating rates amid the humid subtropical regime. Historical September averages near 28–30°C provide context, while model uncertainty in exact clearing timing or localized convection keeps lower and higher outcomes viable. Updated China Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble runs expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine trader-implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Wuhan le 20 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Wuhan le 20 septembre ?
33°C 34%
30°C 32%
29°C 23%
31°C 19%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
20 sept. 2026
25°C ou moins
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
16%
28°C
16%
29°C
24%
30°C
32%
31°C
19%
32°C
18%
33°C
34%
34°C
2%
35°C ou plus
<1%
33°C 34%
30°C 32%
29°C 23%
31°C 19%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
20 sept. 2026
25°C ou moins
$11 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
3%
27°C
$394 Vol.
16%
28°C
$0 Vol.
16%
29°C
$4 Vol.
24%
30°C
$30 Vol.
32%
31°C
$5 Vol.
19%
32°C
$0 Vol.
18%
33°C
$0 Vol.
34%
34°C
$0 Vol.
2%
35°C ou plus
$111 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from global and regional models indicate a high near 30°C in Wuhan on September 20 under partly cloudy skies transitioning from current overcast conditions, supporting the market's tight clustering around 29–32°C. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover modulating solar insolation, northeast winds limiting warm advection from the south, and boundary-layer humidity influencing daytime heating rates amid the humid subtropical regime. Historical September averages near 28–30°C provide context, while model uncertainty in exact clearing timing or localized convection keeps lower and higher outcomes viable. Updated China Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble runs expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine trader-implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$556Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from global and regional models indicate a high near 30°C in Wuhan on September 20 under partly cloudy skies transitioning from current overcast conditions, supporting the market's tight clustering around 29–32°C. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover modulating solar insolation, northeast winds limiting warm advection from the south, and boundary-layer humidity influencing daytime heating rates amid the humid subtropical regime. Historical September averages near 28–30°C provide context, while model uncertainty in exact clearing timing or localized convection keeps lower and higher outcomes viable. Updated China Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble runs expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine trader-implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$556Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from global and regional models indicate a high near 30°C in Wuhan on September 20 under partly cloudy skies transitioning from current overcast conditions, supporting the market's tight clustering around 29–32°C. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover modulating solar insolation, northeast winds limiting warm advection from the south, and boundary-layer humidity influencing daytime heating rates amid the humid subtropical regime. Historical September averages near 28–30°C provide context, while model uncertainty in exact clearing timing or localized convection keeps lower and higher outcomes viable. Updated China Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble runs expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine trader-implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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