Official Met Office forecasts and real-time observations for London on September 24 indicate a minimum temperature of 12°C, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies overnight allowing moderate radiative cooling under light easterly winds and high pressure. Multiple model runs converge on overnight lows near 11–12°C, consistent with recent climatological norms for late September and the absence of colder air advection. This underpins the market's 95% implied probability for 12°C as the daily low. A sharper temperature drop could occur if skies clear more than expected or winds weaken further, potentially pushing readings to 11°C at urban stations, though current guidance shows limited downside risk before dawn.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Londres le 24 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Londres le 24 septembre ?
12°C 92%
10°C 2%
11°C 2%
9°C <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 sept. 2026
6°C ou moins
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
2%
12°C
92%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C ou plus
<1%
12°C 92%
10°C 2%
11°C 2%
9°C <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 sept. 2026
6°C ou moins
$25 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$25 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$20 Vol.
1%
9°C
$246 Vol.
1%
10°C
$755 Vol.
2%
11°C
$908 Vol.
2%
12°C
$1,204 Vol.
92%
13°C
$570 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$161 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
16°C ou plus
$25 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office forecasts and real-time observations for London on September 24 indicate a minimum temperature of 12°C, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies overnight allowing moderate radiative cooling under light easterly winds and high pressure. Multiple model runs converge on overnight lows near 11–12°C, consistent with recent climatological norms for late September and the absence of colder air advection. This underpins the market's 95% implied probability for 12°C as the daily low. A sharper temperature drop could occur if skies clear more than expected or winds weaken further, potentially pushing readings to 11°C at urban stations, though current guidance shows limited downside risk before dawn.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$3,939Date de fin
24 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRésolveur
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office forecasts and real-time observations for London on September 24 indicate a minimum temperature of 12°C, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies overnight allowing moderate radiative cooling under light easterly winds and high pressure. Multiple model runs converge on overnight lows near 11–12°C, consistent with recent climatological norms for late September and the absence of colder air advection. This underpins the market's 95% implied probability for 12°C as the daily low. A sharper temperature drop could occur if skies clear more than expected or winds weaken further, potentially pushing readings to 11°C at urban stations, though current guidance shows limited downside risk before dawn.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,939Date de fin
24 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRésolveur
0x69c47de9d...Official Met Office forecasts and real-time observations for London on September 24 indicate a minimum temperature of 12°C, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies overnight allowing moderate radiative cooling under light easterly winds and high pressure. Multiple model runs converge on overnight lows near 11–12°C, consistent with recent climatological norms for late September and the absence of colder air advection. This underpins the market's 95% implied probability for 12°C as the daily low. A sharper temperature drop could occur if skies clear more than expected or winds weaken further, potentially pushing readings to 11°C at urban stations, though current guidance shows limited downside risk before dawn.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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