Forecast models from MetService, GFS, and ACCESS-G indicate sunny conditions and light northwesterly winds for Wellington on September 24, supporting a daytime high near 13°C after a frontal passage. This aligns with the market's strong implied probabilities for 13°C (52.5%) and 14°C (42.5%), reflecting typical spring variability where minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could nudge the maximum by 1°C. Recent observations show temperatures tracking close to seasonal norms around 12–14°C amid high pressure building over the Tasman Sea, with low precipitation risk and stable steering patterns. Updated model runs through September 22 reinforce this narrow range, though traders note that any late intensification of northerlies could briefly elevate readings toward 15°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Wellington le 24 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Wellington le 24 septembre ?
13°C 53%
14°C 42%
12°C 5%
15°C 4%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 sept. 2026
8°C ou moins
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
2%
11°C
1%
12°C
5%
13°C
53%
14°C
42%
15°C
4%
16°C
2%
17°C
1%
18°C ou plus
<1%
13°C 53%
14°C 42%
12°C 5%
15°C 4%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 sept. 2026
8°C ou moins
$109 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$311 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$0 Vol.
2%
11°C
$20 Vol.
1%
12°C
$425 Vol.
5%
13°C
$639 Vol.
53%
14°C
$1,092 Vol.
42%
15°C
$451 Vol.
4%
16°C
$0 Vol.
2%
17°C
$299 Vol.
1%
18°C ou plus
$95 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from MetService, GFS, and ACCESS-G indicate sunny conditions and light northwesterly winds for Wellington on September 24, supporting a daytime high near 13°C after a frontal passage. This aligns with the market's strong implied probabilities for 13°C (52.5%) and 14°C (42.5%), reflecting typical spring variability where minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could nudge the maximum by 1°C. Recent observations show temperatures tracking close to seasonal norms around 12–14°C amid high pressure building over the Tasman Sea, with low precipitation risk and stable steering patterns. Updated model runs through September 22 reinforce this narrow range, though traders note that any late intensification of northerlies could briefly elevate readings toward 15°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$3,441Date de fin
24 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from MetService, GFS, and ACCESS-G indicate sunny conditions and light northwesterly winds for Wellington on September 24, supporting a daytime high near 13°C after a frontal passage. This aligns with the market's strong implied probabilities for 13°C (52.5%) and 14°C (42.5%), reflecting typical spring variability where minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could nudge the maximum by 1°C. Recent observations show temperatures tracking close to seasonal norms around 12–14°C amid high pressure building over the Tasman Sea, with low precipitation risk and stable steering patterns. Updated model runs through September 22 reinforce this narrow range, though traders note that any late intensification of northerlies could briefly elevate readings toward 15°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,441Date de fin
24 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from MetService, GFS, and ACCESS-G indicate sunny conditions and light northwesterly winds for Wellington on September 24, supporting a daytime high near 13°C after a frontal passage. This aligns with the market's strong implied probabilities for 13°C (52.5%) and 14°C (42.5%), reflecting typical spring variability where minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could nudge the maximum by 1°C. Recent observations show temperatures tracking close to seasonal norms around 12–14°C amid high pressure building over the Tasman Sea, with low precipitation risk and stable steering patterns. Updated model runs through September 22 reinforce this narrow range, though traders note that any late intensification of northerlies could briefly elevate readings toward 15°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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