Recent forecasts from multiple models point to a cooler day in Cape Town on September 26 driven by strengthening southerly winds advecting cooler maritime air from the South Atlantic, combined with increased cloud cover and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. These conditions, tied to an approaching frontal boundary, favor daily maxima clustered around 18–20°C, aligning with the market’s tight distribution between 19°C and 21°C. Historical September averages near 18–19°C provide context, while model spread in wind strength and timing of any clearing introduces the modest uncertainty reflected in current trader positioning. Updated runs from agencies like the South African Weather Service and global ensembles will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée au Cap le 26 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée au Cap le 26 septembre ?
19°C 26%
16°C 23%
20°C 23%
21°C 23%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
26 sept. 2026
13°C ou moins
2%
14°C
4%
15°C
4%
16°C
23%
17°C
15%
18°C
18%
19°C
26%
20°C
23%
21°C
23%
22°C
22%
23°C ou plus
15%
19°C 26%
16°C 23%
20°C 23%
21°C 23%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
26 sept. 2026
13°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
2%
14°C
$0 Vol.
4%
15°C
$0 Vol.
4%
16°C
$0 Vol.
23%
17°C
$0 Vol.
15%
18°C
$0 Vol.
18%
19°C
$0 Vol.
26%
20°C
$0 Vol.
23%
21°C
$21 Vol.
23%
22°C
$0 Vol.
22%
23°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models point to a cooler day in Cape Town on September 26 driven by strengthening southerly winds advecting cooler maritime air from the South Atlantic, combined with increased cloud cover and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. These conditions, tied to an approaching frontal boundary, favor daily maxima clustered around 18–20°C, aligning with the market’s tight distribution between 19°C and 21°C. Historical September averages near 18–19°C provide context, while model spread in wind strength and timing of any clearing introduces the modest uncertainty reflected in current trader positioning. Updated runs from agencies like the South African Weather Service and global ensembles will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$21Date de fin
26 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRésolveur
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models point to a cooler day in Cape Town on September 26 driven by strengthening southerly winds advecting cooler maritime air from the South Atlantic, combined with increased cloud cover and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. These conditions, tied to an approaching frontal boundary, favor daily maxima clustered around 18–20°C, aligning with the market’s tight distribution between 19°C and 21°C. Historical September averages near 18–19°C provide context, while model spread in wind strength and timing of any clearing introduces the modest uncertainty reflected in current trader positioning. Updated runs from agencies like the South African Weather Service and global ensembles will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$21Date de fin
26 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRésolveur
0x69c47de9d...Recent forecasts from multiple models point to a cooler day in Cape Town on September 26 driven by strengthening southerly winds advecting cooler maritime air from the South Atlantic, combined with increased cloud cover and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. These conditions, tied to an approaching frontal boundary, favor daily maxima clustered around 18–20°C, aligning with the market’s tight distribution between 19°C and 21°C. Historical September averages near 18–19°C provide context, while model spread in wind strength and timing of any clearing introduces the modest uncertainty reflected in current trader positioning. Updated runs from agencies like the South African Weather Service and global ensembles will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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