Current ensemble forecasts from PAGASA and GFS models indicate daytime highs of 31–33°C in Manila on September 26 under partly cloudy skies with isolated showers and moderate humidity, aligning with late-September climatology during the shift toward the amihan monsoon. Trader consensus favoring 33°C (37.5%) and 32°C (23.5%) reflects this narrow range, tempered by El Niño-driven warmer baselines and limited direct influence from nearby Tropical Storm Queenie. Cloud cover and scattered convection are expected to cap extreme peaks, while model agreement reduces uncertainty ahead of final 48-hour updates.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Manille le 26 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Manille le 26 septembre ?
33°C 38%
32°C 23%
31°C 18%
34°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
26 sept. 2026
29°C ou moins
<1%
30°C
8%
31°C
18%
32°C
23%
33°C
38%
34°C
12%
35°C
9%
36°C
9%
37°C
9%
38°C
1%
39°C ou plus
<1%
33°C 38%
32°C 23%
31°C 18%
34°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
26 sept. 2026
29°C ou moins
$15 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$0 Vol.
8%
31°C
$0 Vol.
18%
32°C
$0 Vol.
23%
33°C
$8 Vol.
38%
34°C
$0 Vol.
12%
35°C
$0 Vol.
9%
36°C
$0 Vol.
9%
37°C
$5 Vol.
9%
38°C
$0 Vol.
1%
39°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from PAGASA and GFS models indicate daytime highs of 31–33°C in Manila on September 26 under partly cloudy skies with isolated showers and moderate humidity, aligning with late-September climatology during the shift toward the amihan monsoon. Trader consensus favoring 33°C (37.5%) and 32°C (23.5%) reflects this narrow range, tempered by El Niño-driven warmer baselines and limited direct influence from nearby Tropical Storm Queenie. Cloud cover and scattered convection are expected to cap extreme peaks, while model agreement reduces uncertainty ahead of final 48-hour updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 24, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Volume
$28Date de fin
26 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 24, 2026, 12:59 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRésolveur
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from PAGASA and GFS models indicate daytime highs of 31–33°C in Manila on September 26 under partly cloudy skies with isolated showers and moderate humidity, aligning with late-September climatology during the shift toward the amihan monsoon. Trader consensus favoring 33°C (37.5%) and 32°C (23.5%) reflects this narrow range, tempered by El Niño-driven warmer baselines and limited direct influence from nearby Tropical Storm Queenie. Cloud cover and scattered convection are expected to cap extreme peaks, while model agreement reduces uncertainty ahead of final 48-hour updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$28Date de fin
26 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 24, 2026, 12:59 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRésolveur
0x69c47de9d...Current ensemble forecasts from PAGASA and GFS models indicate daytime highs of 31–33°C in Manila on September 26 under partly cloudy skies with isolated showers and moderate humidity, aligning with late-September climatology during the shift toward the amihan monsoon. Trader consensus favoring 33°C (37.5%) and 32°C (23.5%) reflects this narrow range, tempered by El Niño-driven warmer baselines and limited direct influence from nearby Tropical Storm Queenie. Cloud cover and scattered convection are expected to cap extreme peaks, while model agreement reduces uncertainty ahead of final 48-hour updates.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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