Recent numerical weather prediction models from ECMWF and GFS show a maximum temperature in Warsaw on September 26 most likely near 17°C, driven by a moderating westerly flow of Atlantic air under persistent cloud cover and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty from frontal timing and boundary-layer moisture, keeping 16–18°C outcomes competitive while historical September averages around 18–20°C provide context for the cooler pattern. Traders are weighting the latest high-resolution runs and official IMGW guidance ahead of final verification from surface observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 26 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 26 septembre ?
17°C 38%
18°C 35%
16°C 29%
19°C 19%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
26 sept. 2026
11°C ou moins
2%
12°C
4%
13°C
4%
14°C
5%
15°C
13%
16°C
29%
17°C
38%
18°C
35%
19°C
19%
20°C
13%
21°C ou plus
10%
17°C 38%
18°C 35%
16°C 29%
19°C 19%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
26 sept. 2026
11°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
2%
12°C
$0 Vol.
4%
13°C
$0 Vol.
4%
14°C
$0 Vol.
5%
15°C
$0 Vol.
13%
16°C
$0 Vol.
29%
17°C
$0 Vol.
38%
18°C
$0 Vol.
35%
19°C
$0 Vol.
19%
20°C
$0 Vol.
13%
21°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from ECMWF and GFS show a maximum temperature in Warsaw on September 26 most likely near 17°C, driven by a moderating westerly flow of Atlantic air under persistent cloud cover and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty from frontal timing and boundary-layer moisture, keeping 16–18°C outcomes competitive while historical September averages around 18–20°C provide context for the cooler pattern. Traders are weighting the latest high-resolution runs and official IMGW guidance ahead of final verification from surface observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
26 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRésolveur
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from ECMWF and GFS show a maximum temperature in Warsaw on September 26 most likely near 17°C, driven by a moderating westerly flow of Atlantic air under persistent cloud cover and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty from frontal timing and boundary-layer moisture, keeping 16–18°C outcomes competitive while historical September averages around 18–20°C provide context for the cooler pattern. Traders are weighting the latest high-resolution runs and official IMGW guidance ahead of final verification from surface observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Date de fin
26 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRésolveur
0x69c47de9d...Recent numerical weather prediction models from ECMWF and GFS show a maximum temperature in Warsaw on September 26 most likely near 17°C, driven by a moderating westerly flow of Atlantic air under persistent cloud cover and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty from frontal timing and boundary-layer moisture, keeping 16–18°C outcomes competitive while historical September averages around 18–20°C provide context for the cooler pattern. Traders are weighting the latest high-resolution runs and official IMGW guidance ahead of final verification from surface observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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