Current forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate an overnight low of 12–13°C in London on September 25 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those values. Minor differences among 12°C, 13°C, and 14°C outcomes stem from small variations in model runs for radiative cooling rates, dew point depression, and the precise timing of the minimum before dawn, alongside urban heat island effects that can raise readings slightly above rural baselines. With no significant weather systems approaching, traders weigh the latest high-resolution guidance and historical September minima near 12–14°C against the narrow uncertainty range typical 24 hours out. Updated model outputs and Met Office briefings before resolution will likely refine the consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Londres le 25 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Londres le 25 septembre ?
13°C 39%
12°C 31%
14°C 29%
10°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 sept. 2026
8°C ou moins
5%
9°C
6%
10°C
9%
11°C
6%
12°C
31%
13°C
39%
14°C
29%
15°C
3%
16°C
4%
17°C
2%
18°C ou plus
1%
13°C 39%
12°C 31%
14°C 29%
10°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 sept. 2026
8°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
5%
9°C
$0 Vol.
6%
10°C
$0 Vol.
9%
11°C
$40 Vol.
6%
12°C
$283 Vol.
31%
13°C
$420 Vol.
39%
14°C
$24 Vol.
29%
15°C
$0 Vol.
3%
16°C
$0 Vol.
4%
17°C
$0 Vol.
2%
18°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate an overnight low of 12–13°C in London on September 25 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those values. Minor differences among 12°C, 13°C, and 14°C outcomes stem from small variations in model runs for radiative cooling rates, dew point depression, and the precise timing of the minimum before dawn, alongside urban heat island effects that can raise readings slightly above rural baselines. With no significant weather systems approaching, traders weigh the latest high-resolution guidance and historical September minima near 12–14°C against the narrow uncertainty range typical 24 hours out. Updated model outputs and Met Office briefings before resolution will likely refine the consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$767Date de fin
25 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRésolveur
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate an overnight low of 12–13°C in London on September 25 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those values. Minor differences among 12°C, 13°C, and 14°C outcomes stem from small variations in model runs for radiative cooling rates, dew point depression, and the precise timing of the minimum before dawn, alongside urban heat island effects that can raise readings slightly above rural baselines. With no significant weather systems approaching, traders weigh the latest high-resolution guidance and historical September minima near 12–14°C against the narrow uncertainty range typical 24 hours out. Updated model outputs and Met Office briefings before resolution will likely refine the consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$767Date de fin
25 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRésolveur
0x69c47de9d...Current forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate an overnight low of 12–13°C in London on September 25 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those values. Minor differences among 12°C, 13°C, and 14°C outcomes stem from small variations in model runs for radiative cooling rates, dew point depression, and the precise timing of the minimum before dawn, alongside urban heat island effects that can raise readings slightly above rural baselines. With no significant weather systems approaching, traders weigh the latest high-resolution guidance and historical September minima near 12–14°C against the narrow uncertainty range typical 24 hours out. Updated model outputs and Met Office briefings before resolution will likely refine the consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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