**Official PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on September 23 project a daytime high of 33°C under southwest monsoon influence, with an 80% chance of rain or thunderstorms.** This aligns with the market's tight clustering around 32–33°C (combined 66% implied probability), as traders weigh frequent convective cloud cover and showers that limit solar heating against occasional clearer intervals allowing brief peaks near 33°C. High humidity (often 70–90%) and light variable winds further moderate extremes, consistent with September climatology of 31–32°C average highs. El Niño conditions may subtly elevate baseline warmth but are secondary to short-term monsoon dynamics. New PAGASA updates or model runs on the 22nd–23rd represent the main near-term catalysts that could shift resolution odds between the leading outcomes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Manille le 23 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Manille le 23 septembre ?
33°C 42%
32°C 37%
31°C 13%
30°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
23 sept. 2026
28°C ou moins
3%
29°C
9%
30°C
11%
31°C
13%
32°C
37%
33°C
42%
34°C
8%
35°C
9%
36°C
10%
37°C
1%
38°C ou plus
<1%
33°C 42%
32°C 37%
31°C 13%
30°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
23 sept. 2026
28°C ou moins
$5 Vol.
3%
29°C
$33 Vol.
9%
30°C
$5 Vol.
11%
31°C
$5 Vol.
13%
32°C
$89 Vol.
37%
33°C
$88 Vol.
42%
34°C
$0 Vol.
8%
35°C
$5 Vol.
9%
36°C
$15 Vol.
10%
37°C
$5 Vol.
1%
38°C ou plus
$61 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on September 23 project a daytime high of 33°C under southwest monsoon influence, with an 80% chance of rain or thunderstorms.** This aligns with the market's tight clustering around 32–33°C (combined 66% implied probability), as traders weigh frequent convective cloud cover and showers that limit solar heating against occasional clearer intervals allowing brief peaks near 33°C. High humidity (often 70–90%) and light variable winds further moderate extremes, consistent with September climatology of 31–32°C average highs. El Niño conditions may subtly elevate baseline warmth but are secondary to short-term monsoon dynamics. New PAGASA updates or model runs on the 22nd–23rd represent the main near-term catalysts that could shift resolution odds between the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 21, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Volume
$233Date de fin
23 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 21, 2026, 12:59 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on September 23 project a daytime high of 33°C under southwest monsoon influence, with an 80% chance of rain or thunderstorms.** This aligns with the market's tight clustering around 32–33°C (combined 66% implied probability), as traders weigh frequent convective cloud cover and showers that limit solar heating against occasional clearer intervals allowing brief peaks near 33°C. High humidity (often 70–90%) and light variable winds further moderate extremes, consistent with September climatology of 31–32°C average highs. El Niño conditions may subtly elevate baseline warmth but are secondary to short-term monsoon dynamics. New PAGASA updates or model runs on the 22nd–23rd represent the main near-term catalysts that could shift resolution odds between the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$233Date de fin
23 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 21, 2026, 12:59 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Official PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on September 23 project a daytime high of 33°C under southwest monsoon influence, with an 80% chance of rain or thunderstorms.** This aligns with the market's tight clustering around 32–33°C (combined 66% implied probability), as traders weigh frequent convective cloud cover and showers that limit solar heating against occasional clearer intervals allowing brief peaks near 33°C. High humidity (often 70–90%) and light variable winds further moderate extremes, consistent with September climatology of 31–32°C average highs. El Niño conditions may subtly elevate baseline warmth but are secondary to short-term monsoon dynamics. New PAGASA updates or model runs on the 22nd–23rd represent the main near-term catalysts that could shift resolution odds between the leading outcomes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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