Traders assign 91% implied probability to a 33°C high in Hong Kong on September 21 because real-time observations from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional stations show afternoon readings consistently reaching 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers. Short-range forecasts from multiple models align on this peak, reflecting typical late-September conditions where humidity and light winds limit further warming while preventing sharp drops. A stronger or earlier thunderstorm complex could cap the maximum below 33°C by enhancing evaporative cooling, whereas clearer breaks in cloud cover might push isolated spots higher. Updated HKO readings and final daily maximum confirmation will resolve the market.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 21 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Hong Kong le 21 septembre ?
33°C 98%
32°C 7%
34°C <1%
35°C ou plus <1%
$72,413 Vol.
$72,413 Vol.
21 sept. 2026
25°C ou moins
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
7%
33°C
98%
34°C
1%
35°C ou plus
<1%
33°C 98%
32°C 7%
34°C <1%
35°C ou plus <1%
$72,413 Vol.
$72,413 Vol.
21 sept. 2026
25°C ou moins
$135 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$490 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$3,076 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$12,432 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$18,796 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$6,870 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$17,159 Vol.
7%
33°C
$11,366 Vol.
98%
34°C
$8,717 Vol.
1%
35°C ou plus
$1,323 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders assign 91% implied probability to a 33°C high in Hong Kong on September 21 because real-time observations from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional stations show afternoon readings consistently reaching 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers. Short-range forecasts from multiple models align on this peak, reflecting typical late-September conditions where humidity and light winds limit further warming while preventing sharp drops. A stronger or earlier thunderstorm complex could cap the maximum below 33°C by enhancing evaporative cooling, whereas clearer breaks in cloud cover might push isolated spots higher. Updated HKO readings and final daily maximum confirmation will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$72,413Date de fin
21 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders assign 91% implied probability to a 33°C high in Hong Kong on September 21 because real-time observations from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional stations show afternoon readings consistently reaching 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers. Short-range forecasts from multiple models align on this peak, reflecting typical late-September conditions where humidity and light winds limit further warming while preventing sharp drops. A stronger or earlier thunderstorm complex could cap the maximum below 33°C by enhancing evaporative cooling, whereas clearer breaks in cloud cover might push isolated spots higher. Updated HKO readings and final daily maximum confirmation will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$72,413Date de fin
21 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign 91% implied probability to a 33°C high in Hong Kong on September 21 because real-time observations from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional stations show afternoon readings consistently reaching 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers. Short-range forecasts from multiple models align on this peak, reflecting typical late-September conditions where humidity and light winds limit further warming while preventing sharp drops. A stronger or earlier thunderstorm complex could cap the maximum below 33°C by enhancing evaporative cooling, whereas clearer breaks in cloud cover might push isolated spots higher. Updated HKO readings and final daily maximum confirmation will resolve the market.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes