Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs shows Moscow's September 23 high likely peaking near 17–19°C under increasing cloud cover and scattered showers, consistent with the tightly bunched market prices centered on 18°C. A transitional autumn pattern features moderating westerly flow after earlier warmth, with a weak low-pressure system and associated frontal boundary limiting diurnal heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Historical late-September averages hover around 15–16°C, so current guidance reflects a modest positive anomaly tempered by precipitation probability exceeding 60% in afternoon hours. Traders appear to weigh the precise timing of heaviest rain and any model spread in boundary-layer moisture against official Hydrometeorological Center updates expected in the next 24–48 hours.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Moscou le 23 septembre ?
Température la plus élevée à Moscou le 23 septembre ?
21°C 39%
22°C 33%
18°C 28%
19°C 23%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
23 sept. 2026
13°C ou moins
4%
14°C
4%
15°C
8%
16°C
21%
17°C
19%
18°C
28%
19°C
23%
20°C
16%
21°C
39%
22°C
33%
23°C ou plus
2%
21°C 39%
22°C 33%
18°C 28%
19°C 23%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
23 sept. 2026
13°C ou moins
$5 Vol.
4%
14°C
$5 Vol.
4%
15°C
$5 Vol.
8%
16°C
$5 Vol.
21%
17°C
$5 Vol.
19%
18°C
$5 Vol.
28%
19°C
$5 Vol.
23%
20°C
$5 Vol.
16%
21°C
$5 Vol.
39%
22°C
$5 Vol.
33%
23°C ou plus
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs shows Moscow's September 23 high likely peaking near 17–19°C under increasing cloud cover and scattered showers, consistent with the tightly bunched market prices centered on 18°C. A transitional autumn pattern features moderating westerly flow after earlier warmth, with a weak low-pressure system and associated frontal boundary limiting diurnal heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Historical late-September averages hover around 15–16°C, so current guidance reflects a modest positive anomaly tempered by precipitation probability exceeding 60% in afternoon hours. Traders appear to weigh the precise timing of heaviest rain and any model spread in boundary-layer moisture against official Hydrometeorological Center updates expected in the next 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$55Date de fin
23 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs shows Moscow's September 23 high likely peaking near 17–19°C under increasing cloud cover and scattered showers, consistent with the tightly bunched market prices centered on 18°C. A transitional autumn pattern features moderating westerly flow after earlier warmth, with a weak low-pressure system and associated frontal boundary limiting diurnal heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Historical late-September averages hover around 15–16°C, so current guidance reflects a modest positive anomaly tempered by precipitation probability exceeding 60% in afternoon hours. Traders appear to weigh the precise timing of heaviest rain and any model spread in boundary-layer moisture against official Hydrometeorological Center updates expected in the next 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$55Date de fin
23 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs shows Moscow's September 23 high likely peaking near 17–19°C under increasing cloud cover and scattered showers, consistent with the tightly bunched market prices centered on 18°C. A transitional autumn pattern features moderating westerly flow after earlier warmth, with a weak low-pressure system and associated frontal boundary limiting diurnal heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Historical late-September averages hover around 15–16°C, so current guidance reflects a modest positive anomaly tempered by precipitation probability exceeding 60% in afternoon hours. Traders appear to weigh the precise timing of heaviest rain and any model spread in boundary-layer moisture against official Hydrometeorological Center updates expected in the next 24–48 hours.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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