Recent forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs points to a cooling trend in Istanbul driven by an advancing frontal system, with expected daytime maxima near 19–21°C on September 23 amid widespread rain and northerly winds. This positions the 22°C-or-higher outcome at 50% implied probability as reflecting residual uncertainty in exact peak readings and model spread, while lower bins capture the most likely range. Historical September averages near 23°C provide context, but the current pattern deviates cooler. Updated high-resolution runs and official Turkish meteorological guidance over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Istanbul le 23 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Istanbul le 23 septembre ?
16°C 40%
17°C 40%
18°C 40%
19°C 40%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
23 sept. 2026
12°C ou moins
4%
13°C
4%
14°C
4%
15°C
4%
16°C
40%
17°C
27%
18°C
40%
19°C
40%
20°C
40%
21°C
23%
22°C ou plus
20%
16°C 40%
17°C 40%
18°C 40%
19°C 40%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
23 sept. 2026
12°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
4%
13°C
$0 Vol.
4%
14°C
$0 Vol.
4%
15°C
$0 Vol.
4%
16°C
$0 Vol.
40%
17°C
$3 Vol.
27%
18°C
$0 Vol.
40%
19°C
$0 Vol.
40%
20°C
$0 Vol.
40%
21°C
$0 Vol.
23%
22°C ou plus
$22 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs points to a cooling trend in Istanbul driven by an advancing frontal system, with expected daytime maxima near 19–21°C on September 23 amid widespread rain and northerly winds. This positions the 22°C-or-higher outcome at 50% implied probability as reflecting residual uncertainty in exact peak readings and model spread, while lower bins capture the most likely range. Historical September averages near 23°C provide context, but the current pattern deviates cooler. Updated high-resolution runs and official Turkish meteorological guidance over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$3Date de fin
23 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs points to a cooling trend in Istanbul driven by an advancing frontal system, with expected daytime maxima near 19–21°C on September 23 amid widespread rain and northerly winds. This positions the 22°C-or-higher outcome at 50% implied probability as reflecting residual uncertainty in exact peak readings and model spread, while lower bins capture the most likely range. Historical September averages near 23°C provide context, but the current pattern deviates cooler. Updated high-resolution runs and official Turkish meteorological guidance over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3Date de fin
23 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs points to a cooling trend in Istanbul driven by an advancing frontal system, with expected daytime maxima near 19–21°C on September 23 amid widespread rain and northerly winds. This positions the 22°C-or-higher outcome at 50% implied probability as reflecting residual uncertainty in exact peak readings and model spread, while lower bins capture the most likely range. Historical September averages near 23°C provide context, but the current pattern deviates cooler. Updated high-resolution runs and official Turkish meteorological guidance over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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