**Current forecasts and midday observations position the daily maximum near 32°C.** Model runs and agency guidance indicate partly cloudy conditions with light northeasterly flow will allow sufficient solar heating while limiting convective cooling or rain, aligning with observed temperatures climbing into the upper 20s°C by early afternoon. This consensus reflects typical late-September climatology for northern Taiwan under stable high-pressure influence, where peaks commonly reach 30–33°C absent stronger monsoon surges. The 97.5% market-implied probability for exactly 32°C embeds trader assessment of these conditions and the narrow resolution window around official Central Weather Administration measurements. Only a sharp increase in cloud cover, unexpected showers, or measurement-site variability would realistically shift the outcome toward 31°C or lower.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Taipei le 21 septembre ?
Température la plus élevée à Taipei le 21 septembre ?
32°C 98%
33°C 2.5%
34°C <1%
26°C ou moins <1%
$32,227 Vol.
$32,227 Vol.
21 sept. 2026
26°C ou moins
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
98%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C ou plus
<1%
32°C 98%
33°C 2.5%
34°C <1%
26°C ou moins <1%
$32,227 Vol.
$32,227 Vol.
21 sept. 2026
26°C ou moins
$190 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$171 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$129 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$205 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$3,516 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$8,492 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$4,226 Vol.
98%
33°C
$6,198 Vol.
3%
34°C
$5,256 Vol.
1%
35°C
$2,231 Vol.
<1%
36°C ou plus
$1,613 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts and midday observations position the daily maximum near 32°C.** Model runs and agency guidance indicate partly cloudy conditions with light northeasterly flow will allow sufficient solar heating while limiting convective cooling or rain, aligning with observed temperatures climbing into the upper 20s°C by early afternoon. This consensus reflects typical late-September climatology for northern Taiwan under stable high-pressure influence, where peaks commonly reach 30–33°C absent stronger monsoon surges. The 97.5% market-implied probability for exactly 32°C embeds trader assessment of these conditions and the narrow resolution window around official Central Weather Administration measurements. Only a sharp increase in cloud cover, unexpected showers, or measurement-site variability would realistically shift the outcome toward 31°C or lower.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$32,227Date de fin
21 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts and midday observations position the daily maximum near 32°C.** Model runs and agency guidance indicate partly cloudy conditions with light northeasterly flow will allow sufficient solar heating while limiting convective cooling or rain, aligning with observed temperatures climbing into the upper 20s°C by early afternoon. This consensus reflects typical late-September climatology for northern Taiwan under stable high-pressure influence, where peaks commonly reach 30–33°C absent stronger monsoon surges. The 97.5% market-implied probability for exactly 32°C embeds trader assessment of these conditions and the narrow resolution window around official Central Weather Administration measurements. Only a sharp increase in cloud cover, unexpected showers, or measurement-site variability would realistically shift the outcome toward 31°C or lower.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$32,227Date de fin
21 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts and midday observations position the daily maximum near 32°C.** Model runs and agency guidance indicate partly cloudy conditions with light northeasterly flow will allow sufficient solar heating while limiting convective cooling or rain, aligning with observed temperatures climbing into the upper 20s°C by early afternoon. This consensus reflects typical late-September climatology for northern Taiwan under stable high-pressure influence, where peaks commonly reach 30–33°C absent stronger monsoon surges. The 97.5% market-implied probability for exactly 32°C embeds trader assessment of these conditions and the narrow resolution window around official Central Weather Administration measurements. Only a sharp increase in cloud cover, unexpected showers, or measurement-site variability would realistically shift the outcome toward 31°C or lower.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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