Recent forecasts indicate thunderstorm activity and moderate rainfall over Shenzhen on August 2, 2026, which is the main driver capping trader-implied odds near 28–29°C. Persistent monsoon moisture and cloud cover limit surface heating by reducing incoming solar radiation, while convective showers enhance evaporative cooling in the Pearl River Delta’s humid subtropical environment. Official guidance shows daily maxima around 29°C amid 24°C overnight lows, consistent with seasonal climatology where July–August averages reach 30–32°C but precipitation frequently suppresses extremes. Model consensus favors this range over higher outcomes, though shifts in steering patterns or reduced rainfall could allow brief warming toward 30–31°C before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Shenzhen le 2 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Shenzhen le 2 août ?
28°C 30%
29°C 25%
27°C 24%
26°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
2 août 2026
23°C ou moins
<1%
24°C
4%
25°C
7%
26°C
10%
27°C
24%
28°C
30%
29°C
25%
30°C
7%
31°C
6%
32°C
2%
33°C ou plus
1%
28°C 30%
29°C 25%
27°C 24%
26°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
2 août 2026
23°C ou moins
$12 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$10 Vol.
4%
25°C
$32 Vol.
7%
26°C
$12 Vol.
10%
27°C
$12 Vol.
24%
28°C
$12 Vol.
30%
29°C
$12 Vol.
25%
30°C
$12 Vol.
7%
31°C
$51 Vol.
6%
32°C
$112 Vol.
2%
33°C ou plus
$31 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate thunderstorm activity and moderate rainfall over Shenzhen on August 2, 2026, which is the main driver capping trader-implied odds near 28–29°C. Persistent monsoon moisture and cloud cover limit surface heating by reducing incoming solar radiation, while convective showers enhance evaporative cooling in the Pearl River Delta’s humid subtropical environment. Official guidance shows daily maxima around 29°C amid 24°C overnight lows, consistent with seasonal climatology where July–August averages reach 30–32°C but precipitation frequently suppresses extremes. Model consensus favors this range over higher outcomes, though shifts in steering patterns or reduced rainfall could allow brief warming toward 30–31°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$305Date de fin
2 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate thunderstorm activity and moderate rainfall over Shenzhen on August 2, 2026, which is the main driver capping trader-implied odds near 28–29°C. Persistent monsoon moisture and cloud cover limit surface heating by reducing incoming solar radiation, while convective showers enhance evaporative cooling in the Pearl River Delta’s humid subtropical environment. Official guidance shows daily maxima around 29°C amid 24°C overnight lows, consistent with seasonal climatology where July–August averages reach 30–32°C but precipitation frequently suppresses extremes. Model consensus favors this range over higher outcomes, though shifts in steering patterns or reduced rainfall could allow brief warming toward 30–31°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$305Date de fin
2 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts indicate thunderstorm activity and moderate rainfall over Shenzhen on August 2, 2026, which is the main driver capping trader-implied odds near 28–29°C. Persistent monsoon moisture and cloud cover limit surface heating by reducing incoming solar radiation, while convective showers enhance evaporative cooling in the Pearl River Delta’s humid subtropical environment. Official guidance shows daily maxima around 29°C amid 24°C overnight lows, consistent with seasonal climatology where July–August averages reach 30–32°C but precipitation frequently suppresses extremes. Model consensus favors this range over higher outcomes, though shifts in steering patterns or reduced rainfall could allow brief warming toward 30–31°C before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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