**Trader sentiment centers on 25–27°C as the most probable daily maximum in Warsaw on August 2, reflecting ensemble forecast consensus near the long-term early-August average of 23–26°C.** Recent model runs show a ridge of high pressure promoting mostly sunny conditions and light winds, supporting modest daytime heating, while any embedded short-wave trough or increased cloud cover could cap the peak 1–2°C lower. Historical analogs from similar late-July setups indicate limited potential for 28°C+ unless subsidence strengthens markedly. Key uncertainties include the timing of any Atlantic front and boundary-layer moisture, with official guidance from sources like the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management or ECMWF updates expected to refine odds before resolution. This tight clustering underscores genuine meteorological variability in a transitional summer pattern.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 2 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 2 août ?
26°C 31%
25°C 26%
27°C 21%
28°C ou plus 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
2 août 2026
18°C ou moins
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
14%
25°C
26%
26°C
31%
27°C
21%
28°C ou plus
8%
26°C 31%
25°C 26%
27°C 21%
28°C ou plus 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
2 août 2026
18°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$10 Vol.
2%
22°C
$10 Vol.
2%
23°C
$20 Vol.
2%
24°C
$0 Vol.
14%
25°C
$20 Vol.
26%
26°C
$7 Vol.
31%
27°C
$8 Vol.
21%
28°C ou plus
$90 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment centers on 25–27°C as the most probable daily maximum in Warsaw on August 2, reflecting ensemble forecast consensus near the long-term early-August average of 23–26°C.** Recent model runs show a ridge of high pressure promoting mostly sunny conditions and light winds, supporting modest daytime heating, while any embedded short-wave trough or increased cloud cover could cap the peak 1–2°C lower. Historical analogs from similar late-July setups indicate limited potential for 28°C+ unless subsidence strengthens markedly. Key uncertainties include the timing of any Atlantic front and boundary-layer moisture, with official guidance from sources like the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management or ECMWF updates expected to refine odds before resolution. This tight clustering underscores genuine meteorological variability in a transitional summer pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$165Date de fin
2 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment centers on 25–27°C as the most probable daily maximum in Warsaw on August 2, reflecting ensemble forecast consensus near the long-term early-August average of 23–26°C.** Recent model runs show a ridge of high pressure promoting mostly sunny conditions and light winds, supporting modest daytime heating, while any embedded short-wave trough or increased cloud cover could cap the peak 1–2°C lower. Historical analogs from similar late-July setups indicate limited potential for 28°C+ unless subsidence strengthens markedly. Key uncertainties include the timing of any Atlantic front and boundary-layer moisture, with official guidance from sources like the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management or ECMWF updates expected to refine odds before resolution. This tight clustering underscores genuine meteorological variability in a transitional summer pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$165Date de fin
2 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment centers on 25–27°C as the most probable daily maximum in Warsaw on August 2, reflecting ensemble forecast consensus near the long-term early-August average of 23–26°C.** Recent model runs show a ridge of high pressure promoting mostly sunny conditions and light winds, supporting modest daytime heating, while any embedded short-wave trough or increased cloud cover could cap the peak 1–2°C lower. Historical analogs from similar late-July setups indicate limited potential for 28°C+ unless subsidence strengthens markedly. Key uncertainties include the timing of any Atlantic front and boundary-layer moisture, with official guidance from sources like the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management or ECMWF updates expected to refine odds before resolution. This tight clustering underscores genuine meteorological variability in a transitional summer pattern.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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