Recent forecast models for Seoul and Incheon show typical midsummer conditions with overnight lows near 23–26°C, yet the tightly matched 45% market-implied odds on 22°C or below versus 32°C or higher reflect substantial uncertainty in minimum temperature projections for August 2. Primary drivers include variable cloud cover, humidity levels near 75–80%, and potential light precipitation that can suppress or enhance radiative cooling overnight. Official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble forecasts highlight how steering patterns and local urban heat effects create divergence between runs, keeping trader sentiment balanced until updated model data or real-time observations narrow the range.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus basse à Séoul (Incheon) le 2 août ?
Température la plus basse à Séoul (Incheon) le 2 août ?
26°C 39%
27°C 32%
25°C 19%
24°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
2 août 2026
22°C ou moins
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
10%
25°C
19%
26°C
39%
27°C
32%
28°C
5%
29°C
4%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C ou plus
<1%
26°C 39%
27°C 32%
25°C 19%
24°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
2 août 2026
22°C ou moins
$25 Vol.
2%
23°C
$90 Vol.
3%
24°C
$211 Vol.
10%
25°C
$91 Vol.
19%
26°C
$182 Vol.
39%
27°C
$126 Vol.
32%
28°C
$145 Vol.
5%
29°C
$25 Vol.
4%
30°C
$66 Vol.
1%
31°C
$66 Vol.
<1%
32°C ou plus
$266 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models for Seoul and Incheon show typical midsummer conditions with overnight lows near 23–26°C, yet the tightly matched 45% market-implied odds on 22°C or below versus 32°C or higher reflect substantial uncertainty in minimum temperature projections for August 2. Primary drivers include variable cloud cover, humidity levels near 75–80%, and potential light precipitation that can suppress or enhance radiative cooling overnight. Official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble forecasts highlight how steering patterns and local urban heat effects create divergence between runs, keeping trader sentiment balanced until updated model data or real-time observations narrow the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,292Date de fin
2 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models for Seoul and Incheon show typical midsummer conditions with overnight lows near 23–26°C, yet the tightly matched 45% market-implied odds on 22°C or below versus 32°C or higher reflect substantial uncertainty in minimum temperature projections for August 2. Primary drivers include variable cloud cover, humidity levels near 75–80%, and potential light precipitation that can suppress or enhance radiative cooling overnight. Official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble forecasts highlight how steering patterns and local urban heat effects create divergence between runs, keeping trader sentiment balanced until updated model data or real-time observations narrow the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,292Date de fin
2 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models for Seoul and Incheon show typical midsummer conditions with overnight lows near 23–26°C, yet the tightly matched 45% market-implied odds on 22°C or below versus 32°C or higher reflect substantial uncertainty in minimum temperature projections for August 2. Primary drivers include variable cloud cover, humidity levels near 75–80%, and potential light precipitation that can suppress or enhance radiative cooling overnight. Official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble forecasts highlight how steering patterns and local urban heat effects create divergence between runs, keeping trader sentiment balanced until updated model data or real-time observations narrow the range.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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